-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       log:  C:\eresearch\published\PTAs\June2002\mansfield-reinhardt-2003.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:   3 Dec 2004, 14:28:02

. 
. **************************************************************
. **************************************************************
. * Published Models *
. **************************************************************
. **************************************************************
. 
. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5318.1366
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4053.2266
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3496.2003
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3291.4679
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3248.2888
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3245.5077
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3245.4917

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     149308
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    2661.92
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3245.4917                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3897

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .2697644   .1163069     2.32   0.020     .0418071    .4977216
    distance |  -.6268254   .0272667   -22.99   0.000    -.6802671   -.5733836
     demp981 |   .0651868   .0055205    11.81   0.000     .0543668    .0760068
        tr95 |   14.30367   3.129301     4.57   0.000     8.170354    20.43699
          g1 |  -.2732058   .0594703    -4.59   0.000    -.3897655    -.156646
         gc1 |    .010103   .0042975     2.35   0.019       .00168     .018526
     growth1 |  -.0223984   .0080315    -2.79   0.005    -.0381398    -.006657
      pdsrfc |  -37.65816   3.970741    -9.48   0.000    -45.44067   -29.87565
     pdsrfc2 |  -364.9077   83.59376    -4.37   0.000    -528.7485    -201.067
       tp2r1 |   3.039911   .1348451    22.54   0.000      2.77562    3.304203
        year |  -.5030074   .0415671   -12.10   0.000    -.5844774   -.4215373
      gattl1 |   .2510251   .0302611     8.30   0.000     .1917146    .3103357
      round2 |   1.847554   .1538161    12.01   0.000      1.54608    2.149028
       bad14 |   1.182835   .1153553    10.25   0.000     .9567428    1.408927
        f123 |  -.9332476   .6434972    -1.45   0.147    -2.194479    .3279838
        f_14 |   .5267269   .1330822     3.96   0.000     .2658906    .7875633
      spldy1 |   .0796547   .0089257     8.92   0.000     .0621606    .0971488
      spldy2 |  -.1001151   .0097435   -10.28   0.000    -.1192119   -.0810182
      spldy3 |   .0773704   .0063129    12.26   0.000     .0649973    .0897435
      spldy4 |  -.0491998   .0036867   -13.35   0.000    -.0564256   -.0419739
      spldy5 |   .0281771   .0023115    12.19   0.000     .0236467    .0327075
      spldy6 |  -.0083291   .0008468    -9.84   0.000    -.0099888   -.0066694
       _cons |   968.9659   79.67834    12.16   0.000     812.7992    1125.133
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 s
> pldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -6605.8728
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -5110.6977
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -4495.8729
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -4274.9876
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -4230.1073
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4769
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4651

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     259267
                                                  Wald chi2(19)   =    3069.43
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4651                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3600

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.6650452   .0255569   -26.02   0.000    -.7151357   -.6149546
     demp981 |    .047039   .0052242     9.00   0.000     .0367996    .0572783
          g1 |  -.1334927   .0539847    -2.47   0.013    -.2393007   -.0276847
         gc1 |   .0159751   .0037656     4.24   0.000     .0085948    .0233555
      pdsrfc |  -23.33125   2.635914    -8.85   0.000    -28.49754   -18.16495
     pdsrfc2 |  -690.8721   70.01313    -9.87   0.000    -828.0953   -553.6489
       tp2r1 |    2.76499    .127786    21.64   0.000     2.514534    3.015446
        year |  -.3951471   .0249384   -15.84   0.000    -.4440253   -.3462688
      gattl1 |   .1549781   .0115253    13.45   0.000     .1323888    .1775673
      round2 |   1.900456   .1546418    12.29   0.000     1.597364    2.203548
       bad14 |   1.073429   .1024026    10.48   0.000      .872724    1.274135
        f123 |  -.9215812   .6193126    -1.49   0.137    -2.135412    .2922492
        f_14 |   .6294812   .1181274     5.33   0.000     .3979558    .8610067
      spldy1 |   .0614505   .0078873     7.79   0.000     .0459917    .0769093
      spldy2 |  -.0848264   .0086538    -9.80   0.000    -.1017874   -.0678653
      spldy3 |   .0710162   .0056859    12.49   0.000      .059872    .0821604
      spldy4 |  -.0467581   .0033206   -14.08   0.000    -.0532663   -.0402498
      spldy5 |   .0262317   .0019666    13.34   0.000     .0223771    .0300862
      spldy6 |  -.0073473   .0006571   -11.18   0.000    -.0086353   -.0060594
       _cons |    763.259     48.358    15.78   0.000     668.4791     858.039
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 54 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 
> round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5318.1366
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =   -3981.81
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3384.2705
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3168.7946
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3121.2544
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3117.7842
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3117.7584
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3117.7584

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     149308
                                                  Wald chi2(24)   =    2768.62
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3117.7584                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4137

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .4534671   .1169233     3.88   0.000     .2243017    .6826325
    distance |  -.5451821   .0269002   -20.27   0.000    -.5979055   -.4924586
     demp981 |    .059303   .0052936    11.20   0.000     .0489278    .0696783
        tr95 |   16.82618    3.45928     4.86   0.000     10.04611    23.60624
          g1 |  -.3110139   .0612459    -5.08   0.000    -.4310537   -.1909741
         gc1 |    .018223   .0044355     4.11   0.000     .0095295    .0269164
     growth1 |   .0060731   .0076231     0.80   0.426     -.008868    .0210141
      pdsrfc |   -32.6507   3.263224   -10.01   0.000     -39.0465    -26.2549
     pdsrfc2 |   -455.137   82.61726    -5.51   0.000    -617.0638   -293.2101
       tp2r1 |   3.073124   .1424042    21.58   0.000     2.794016    3.352231
        year |  -.0399082   .0178534    -2.24   0.025    -.0749002   -.0049162
    dtgattl1 |   .2353958    .024016     9.80   0.000     .1883252    .2824663
      round2 |   1.729875   .1586489    10.90   0.000     1.418929    2.040822
       bad14 |   1.269535   .1142881    11.11   0.000     1.045535    1.493536
        f123 |  -.8092655   .6404477    -1.26   0.206     -2.06452     .445989
        f_14 |   .5866772   .1332938     4.40   0.000     .3254261    .8479282
     fmrcolb |   1.510524   .1973387     7.65   0.000     1.123748    1.897301
     postcom |   2.772113   .2087626    13.28   0.000     2.362946     3.18128
      spldy1 |   .0802249   .0088748     9.04   0.000     .0628306    .0976191
      spldy2 |  -.1001804   .0096299   -10.40   0.000    -.1190548   -.0813061
      spldy3 |   .0758733   .0062251    12.19   0.000     .0636724    .0880741
      spldy4 |  -.0455599   .0037336   -12.20   0.000    -.0528777   -.0382421
      spldy5 |   .0240363   .0024506     9.81   0.000     .0192333    .0288393
      spldy6 |  -.0064152   .0009307    -6.89   0.000    -.0082393   -.0045911
       _cons |   73.12808   35.36145     2.07   0.039     3.820917    142.4352
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust clus
> ter(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2364.5156
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1738.2521
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1425.8513
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1302.6957
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1269.8607
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1266.3373
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1266.2787
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1266.2787

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      65153
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1413.96
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1266.2787                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4645

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .1701314   .1377871     1.23   0.217    -.0999264    .4401892
    distance |  -.5659536   .0371418   -15.24   0.000    -.6387501    -.493157
     demp981 |   .0628548   .0099249     6.33   0.000     .0434024    .0823072
     demp982 |    .040543   .0099929     4.06   0.000     .0209573    .0601286
        tr95 |   33.06961   5.481878     6.03   0.000     22.32533    43.81389
          g1 |  -.1709973   .1191975    -1.43   0.151    -.4046202    .0626256
          g2 |  -.1880888   .1935033    -0.97   0.331    -.5673484    .1911708
         gc1 |  -.0305215   .0073169    -4.17   0.000    -.0448623   -.0161807
         gc2 |  -.0072759   .0074042    -0.98   0.326    -.0217879     .007236
     growth1 |  -.0447035   .0145717    -3.07   0.002    -.0732635   -.0161434
     growth2 |  -.0423077   .0143956    -2.94   0.003    -.0705226   -.0140927
      pdsrfc |  -45.10268   5.833438    -7.73   0.000      -56.536   -33.66935
     pdsrfc2 |  -203.2895   93.98312    -2.16   0.031    -387.4931   -19.08602
       tp2r1 |   3.457659   .2477654    13.96   0.000     2.972048    3.943271
       tp2r2 |   3.527891    .243772    14.47   0.000     3.050107    4.005676
        year |  -.5727281   .0636222    -9.00   0.000    -.6974252   -.4480309
      gattl1 |   .2893211    .046218     6.26   0.000     .1987355    .3799067
      round2 |   1.910601   .1789257    10.68   0.000     1.559913    2.261289
       bad14 |   1.414967   .1459213     9.70   0.000     1.128967    1.700968
        f123 |   -.699692   .7391822    -0.95   0.344    -2.148463    .7490785
        f_14 |   .5457695   .1606875     3.40   0.001     .2308277    .8607113
      spldy1 |    .084535   .0096448     8.76   0.000     .0656316    .1034384
      spldy2 |  -.1008088   .0105227    -9.58   0.000     -.121433   -.0801846
      spldy3 |   .0765863   .0069717    10.99   0.000     .0629221    .0902506
      spldy4 |  -.0509527   .0042097   -12.10   0.000    -.0592036   -.0427017
      spldy5 |   .0307816   .0026416    11.65   0.000     .0256041    .0359591
      spldy6 |   -.009506    .000947   -10.04   0.000     -.011362     -.00765
       _cons |   1103.071   121.9066     9.05   0.000     864.1385    1342.004
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 17 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 rou
> nd2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -3079.4647
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -2335.9536
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -2022.085
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1909.2853
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1885.0585
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3826
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     115846
                                                  Wald chi2(23)   =    2276.02
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3884

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.6048799   .0305616   -19.79   0.000    -.6647794   -.5449803
     demp981 |   .0386905   .0086075     4.49   0.000       .02182     .055561
     demp982 |   .0272319   .0086547     3.15   0.002      .010269    .0441948
          g1 |   .0201802   .1176055     0.17   0.864    -.2103223    .2506828
          g2 |  -.0212771   .1013564    -0.21   0.834    -.2199321    .1773778
         gc1 |  -.0093081    .005988    -1.55   0.120    -.0210444    .0024282
         gc2 |   .0055716   .0062102     0.90   0.370    -.0066002    .0177434
      pdsrfc |  -22.83611   2.970574    -7.69   0.000    -28.65832   -17.01389
     pdsrfc2 |  -621.7872   69.53403    -8.94   0.000    -758.0714    -485.503
       tp2r1 |   2.591112   .1918797    13.50   0.000     2.215035     2.96719
       tp2r2 |   2.672781   .2016078    13.26   0.000     2.277637    3.067925
        year |  -.3744986   .0261811   -14.30   0.000    -.4258125   -.3231847
      gattl1 |   .1421061   .0120138    11.83   0.000     .1185595    .1656528
      round2 |    1.82739    .159794    11.44   0.000       1.5142    2.140581
       bad14 |   1.098168   .1116736     9.83   0.000     .8792916    1.317044
        f123 |  -.9200931   .6331111    -1.45   0.146    -2.160968    .3207818
        f_14 |   .5732198   .1266642     4.53   0.000     .3249625    .8214771
      spldy1 |    .061831   .0079567     7.77   0.000     .0462362    .0774258
      spldy2 |  -.0841862   .0086067    -9.78   0.000    -.1010549   -.0673174
      spldy3 |   .0706719   .0056849    12.43   0.000     .0595298     .081814
      spldy4 |  -.0474116   .0034267   -13.84   0.000    -.0541278   -.0406953
      spldy5 |   .0271054   .0020775    13.05   0.000     .0230335    .0311773
      spldy6 |  -.0077734   .0007044   -11.04   0.000    -.0091541   -.0063928
       _cons |   723.0374   50.78565    14.24   0.000     623.4994    822.5755
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 10 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side
> _a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2364.5156
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1725.8691
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1376.1516
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1241.6044
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1203.2579
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1198.4352
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1198.3216
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1198.3215

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      65153
                                                  Wald chi2(29)   =    1449.18
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1198.3215                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4932

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .4342775   .1451985     2.99   0.003     .1496937    .7188612
    distance |  -.4308251   .0360992   -11.93   0.000    -.5015782    -.360072
     demp981 |   .0591362   .0093998     6.29   0.000      .040713    .0775595
     demp982 |   .0379086   .0095043     3.99   0.000     .0192806    .0565367
        tr95 |   43.08607   5.980056     7.20   0.000     31.36538    54.80677
          g1 |  -.3006199   .1361626    -2.21   0.027    -.5674936   -.0337462
          g2 |  -.3112429   .2204974    -1.41   0.158      -.74341    .1209241
         gc1 |  -.0237443   .0072379    -3.28   0.001    -.0379303   -.0095583
         gc2 |   -.001564   .0072081    -0.22   0.828    -.0156916    .0125636
     growth1 |  -.0168277   .0135068    -1.25   0.213    -.0433006    .0096452
     growth2 |  -.0190055   .0138728    -1.37   0.171    -.0461956    .0081846
      pdsrfc |  -38.74129    4.36352    -8.88   0.000    -47.29363   -30.18894
     pdsrfc2 |  -281.4642   85.06016    -3.31   0.001    -448.1791   -114.7494
       tp2r1 |   3.907422   .2595357    15.06   0.000     3.398742    4.416103
       tp2r2 |   4.006855   .2606423    15.37   0.000     3.496006    4.517705
        year |  -.0486765   .0234387    -2.08   0.038    -.0946155   -.0027374
    dtgattl1 |   .2581329   .0336688     7.67   0.000     .1921432    .3241225
      round2 |   1.651871   .1812397     9.11   0.000     1.296648    2.007095
       bad14 |   1.534072    .144574    10.61   0.000     1.250712    1.817432
        f123 |  -.4915063   .7351702    -0.67   0.504    -1.932413    .9494008
        f_14 |   .5949868   .1592323     3.74   0.000     .2828971    .9070764
     fmrcolb |   2.029877   .2547767     7.97   0.000     1.530524     2.52923
     postcom |   3.087542   .2246214    13.75   0.000     2.647292    3.527791
      spldy1 |   .0861168   .0096205     8.95   0.000      .067261    .1049727
      spldy2 |  -.0999011   .0104329    -9.58   0.000    -.1203493   -.0794529
      spldy3 |   .0726009   .0069394    10.46   0.000     .0589998    .0862019
      spldy4 |  -.0449837   .0042841   -10.50   0.000    -.0533803   -.0365871
      spldy5 |   .0252583   .0027557     9.17   0.000     .0198572    .0306593
      spldy6 |  -.0072436   .0010077    -7.19   0.000    -.0092187   -.0052686
       _cons |   89.41045   46.43264     1.93   0.054    -1.595852    180.4168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **************************************************************
. **************************************************************
. * Various statistics reported in the paper *
. **************************************************************
. **************************************************************
. 
. * notes 89 and 91, page 848 *
. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. quietly logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year g
> attl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

. testparm gattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  gattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  303.24
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  238.53
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. quietly logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f12
> 3 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

. testparm gattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  gattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  399.10
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  214.32
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. quietly logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year d
> tgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

. testparm dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  dtgattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  317.22
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  255.31
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. quietly logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsr
> fc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, rob
> ust cluster(dyad)

. testparm gattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  gattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  235.34
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  252.89
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. quietly logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year ga
> ttl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

. testparm gattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  gattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  319.30
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  222.59
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. quietly logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsr
> fc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=
> 1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

. testparm dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f_14

 ( 1)  dtgattl1 = 0
 ( 2)  round2 = 0
 ( 3)  bad14 = 0
 ( 4)  f_14 = 0

           chi2(  4) =  246.81
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. testparm spldy*

 ( 1)  spldy1 = 0
 ( 2)  spldy2 = 0
 ( 3)  spldy3 = 0
 ( 4)  spldy4 = 0
 ( 5)  spldy5 = 0
 ( 6)  spldy6 = 0

           chi2(  6) =  264.63
         Prob > chi2 =    0.0000

. 
. * note 96, page 852: what if set missing trade values to zero? *
. replace tr95=0 if tr95==.
(66748 real changes made)

. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5754.1749
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -4405.035
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3770.1713
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3535.1854
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3483.1991
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3479.4592
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3479.4319
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3479.4319

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     181709
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    2796.88
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3479.4319                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3953

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .4037236   .1113973     3.62   0.000     .1853888    .6220583
    distance |  -.6514712   .0268511   -24.26   0.000    -.7040984    -.598844
     demp981 |   .0603739   .0050168    12.03   0.000     .0505413    .0702066
        tr95 |   12.40124   3.207166     3.87   0.000     6.115308    18.68717
          g1 |  -.2668997   .0605899    -4.41   0.000    -.3856538   -.1481456
         gc1 |    .011576   .0039931     2.90   0.004     .0037497    .0194023
     growth1 |  -.0238642   .0076866    -3.10   0.002    -.0389296   -.0087988
      pdsrfc |  -40.16762   3.923573   -10.24   0.000    -47.85768   -32.47755
     pdsrfc2 |    -365.66   88.43872    -4.13   0.000    -538.9967   -192.3233
       tp2r1 |   2.921298   .1303091    22.42   0.000     2.665897    3.176699
        year |  -.5198738    .042757   -12.16   0.000     -.603676   -.4360717
      gattl1 |    .262409   .0315266     8.32   0.000      .200618    .3241999
      round2 |    1.94093   .1546093    12.55   0.000     1.637901    2.243958
       bad14 |   1.237726   .1172369    10.56   0.000     1.007946    1.467506
        f123 |  -.9630241   .6494763    -1.48   0.138    -2.235974     .309926
        f_14 |   .5645007   .1340721     4.21   0.000     .3017242    .8272772
      spldy1 |   .0820867   .0087189     9.41   0.000      .064998    .0991753
      spldy2 |  -.1020025   .0095944   -10.63   0.000    -.1208071   -.0831979
      spldy3 |   .0779679   .0062488    12.48   0.000     .0657204    .0902154
      spldy4 |  -.0493788   .0036502   -13.53   0.000    -.0565331   -.0422245
      spldy5 |   .0283747    .002294    12.37   0.000     .0238786    .0328708
      spldy6 |  -.0084224   .0008434    -9.99   0.000    -.0100754   -.0067695
       _cons |   1001.332    81.9046    12.23   0.000      840.802    1161.862
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 23 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 s
> pldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -6605.8728
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -5110.6977
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -4495.8729
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -4274.9876
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -4230.1073
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4769
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4651

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     259267
                                                  Wald chi2(19)   =    3069.43
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -4227.4651                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3600

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.6650452   .0255569   -26.02   0.000    -.7151357   -.6149546
     demp981 |    .047039   .0052242     9.00   0.000     .0367996    .0572783
          g1 |  -.1334927   .0539847    -2.47   0.013    -.2393007   -.0276847
         gc1 |   .0159751   .0037656     4.24   0.000     .0085948    .0233555
      pdsrfc |  -23.33125   2.635914    -8.85   0.000    -28.49754   -18.16495
     pdsrfc2 |  -690.8721   70.01313    -9.87   0.000    -828.0953   -553.6489
       tp2r1 |    2.76499    .127786    21.64   0.000     2.514534    3.015446
        year |  -.3951471   .0249384   -15.84   0.000    -.4440253   -.3462688
      gattl1 |   .1549781   .0115253    13.45   0.000     .1323888    .1775673
      round2 |   1.900456   .1546418    12.29   0.000     1.597364    2.203548
       bad14 |   1.073429   .1024026    10.48   0.000      .872724    1.274135
        f123 |  -.9215812   .6193126    -1.49   0.137    -2.135412    .2922492
        f_14 |   .6294812   .1181274     5.33   0.000     .3979558    .8610067
      spldy1 |   .0614505   .0078873     7.79   0.000     .0459917    .0769093
      spldy2 |  -.0848264   .0086538    -9.80   0.000    -.1017874   -.0678653
      spldy3 |   .0710162   .0056859    12.49   0.000      .059872    .0821604
      spldy4 |  -.0467581   .0033206   -14.08   0.000    -.0532663   -.0402498
      spldy5 |   .0262317   .0019666    13.34   0.000     .0223771    .0300862
      spldy6 |  -.0073473   .0006571   -11.18   0.000    -.0086353   -.0060594
       _cons |    763.259     48.358    15.78   0.000     668.4791     858.039
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 54 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 
> round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5754.1749
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4339.3274
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3643.4625
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3390.8463
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3331.9459
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3327.0797
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3327.0327
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3327.0327

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     181709
                                                  Wald chi2(24)   =    2822.89
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3327.0327                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4218

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .5609458   .1106415     5.07   0.000     .3440923    .7777992
    distance |   -.575022   .0268492   -21.42   0.000    -.6276456   -.5223985
     demp981 |   .0581709   .0047594    12.22   0.000     .0488426    .0674992
        tr95 |   14.95297   3.818975     3.92   0.000     7.467913    22.43802
          g1 |  -.3056893    .063185    -4.84   0.000    -.4295297   -.1818489
         gc1 |   .0196905   .0041041     4.80   0.000     .0116465    .0277344
     growth1 |   .0026395   .0071867     0.37   0.713    -.0114461    .0167251
      pdsrfc |  -34.90362   3.178672   -10.98   0.000     -41.1337   -28.67354
     pdsrfc2 |  -449.1537   85.39964    -5.26   0.000    -616.5339   -281.7735
       tp2r1 |   3.007107   .1390425    21.63   0.000     2.734589    3.279625
        year |  -.0328728   .0187421    -1.75   0.079    -.0696067     .003861
    dtgattl1 |   .2462041    .025009     9.84   0.000     .1971873    .2952209
      round2 |    1.81644   .1587655    11.44   0.000     1.505265    2.127614
       bad14 |   1.328747   .1170114    11.36   0.000     1.099408    1.558085
        f123 |  -.8015302   .6451947    -1.24   0.214    -2.066089    .4630282
        f_14 |   .6363471   .1357823     4.69   0.000     .3702187    .9024754
     fmrcolb |   1.857323   .1713014    10.84   0.000     1.521578    2.193068
     postcom |   2.730228    .206789    13.20   0.000     2.324929    3.135527
      spldy1 |   .0819885   .0086455     9.48   0.000     .0650437    .0989332
      spldy2 |  -.1017356   .0094542   -10.76   0.000    -.1202655   -.0832058
      spldy3 |   .0765945   .0061503    12.45   0.000     .0645401    .0886488
      spldy4 |  -.0459179   .0036903   -12.44   0.000    -.0531507   -.0386851
      spldy5 |   .0243201   .0024237    10.03   0.000     .0195698    .0290704
      spldy6 |  -.0065343   .0009223    -7.08   0.000    -.0083419   -.0047266
       _cons |   59.11322   37.12991     1.59   0.111    -13.66007    131.8865
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 14 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust clus
> ter(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2560.4628
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1916.9197
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1555.9625
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1416.881
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1379.3081
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1375.0973
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1375.0207
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1375.0207

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      77950
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1543.60
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1375.0207                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4630

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .3579316   .1299065     2.76   0.006     .1033196    .6125437
    distance |   -.591052   .0356902   -16.56   0.000    -.6610036   -.5211004
     demp981 |   .0545387   .0091309     5.97   0.000     .0366425    .0724349
     demp982 |   .0402711   .0093002     4.33   0.000     .0220431    .0584991
        tr95 |   30.83075   5.519665     5.59   0.000     20.01241     41.6491
          g1 |  -.1783346   .1174747    -1.52   0.129    -.4085808    .0519116
          g2 |  -.2115632   .1944243    -1.09   0.277    -.5926277    .1695014
         gc1 |  -.0264144   .0068773    -3.84   0.000    -.0398937   -.0129351
         gc2 |  -.0054951   .0070652    -0.78   0.437    -.0193427    .0083525
     growth1 |  -.0491135   .0137936    -3.56   0.000    -.0761485   -.0220786
     growth2 |  -.0356566   .0136225    -2.62   0.009    -.0623563    -.008957
      pdsrfc |  -48.38439   5.821764    -8.31   0.000    -59.79484   -36.97394
     pdsrfc2 |  -189.4374   99.11816    -1.91   0.056    -383.7055      4.8306
       tp2r1 |   3.223468    .235676    13.68   0.000     2.761551    3.685384
       tp2r2 |   3.405756   .2319773    14.68   0.000     2.951088    3.860423
        year |  -.5929968   .0654543    -9.06   0.000    -.7212847   -.4647088
      gattl1 |   .3051739   .0478608     6.38   0.000     .2113684    .3989794
      round2 |   2.027143   .1798217    11.27   0.000     1.674699    2.379587
       bad14 |   1.440183   .1468786     9.81   0.000     1.152306     1.72806
        f123 |  -.7560623   .7491749    -1.01   0.313    -2.224418    .7122936
        f_14 |   .5559504   .1596417     3.48   0.000     .2430584    .8688424
      spldy1 |   .0883658   .0093791     9.42   0.000     .0699831    .1067486
      spldy2 |  -.1041786   .0103307   -10.08   0.000    -.1244264   -.0839307
      spldy3 |   .0779557   .0068707    11.35   0.000     .0644893    .0914221
      spldy4 |  -.0513206   .0041594   -12.34   0.000     -.059473   -.0431683
      spldy5 |   .0309661   .0026217    11.81   0.000     .0258277    .0361046
      spldy6 |  -.0095596   .0009411   -10.16   0.000    -.0114042    -.007715
       _cons |   1141.864   125.3628     9.11   0.000     896.1576    1387.571
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 40 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 rou
> nd2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -3079.4647
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -2335.9536
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -2022.085
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1909.2853
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1885.0585
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3826
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     115846
                                                  Wald chi2(23)   =    2276.02
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1883.3714                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3884

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.6048799   .0305616   -19.79   0.000    -.6647794   -.5449803
     demp981 |   .0386905   .0086075     4.49   0.000       .02182     .055561
     demp982 |   .0272319   .0086547     3.15   0.002      .010269    .0441948
          g1 |   .0201802   .1176055     0.17   0.864    -.2103223    .2506828
          g2 |  -.0212771   .1013564    -0.21   0.834    -.2199321    .1773778
         gc1 |  -.0093081    .005988    -1.55   0.120    -.0210444    .0024282
         gc2 |   .0055716   .0062102     0.90   0.370    -.0066002    .0177434
      pdsrfc |  -22.83611   2.970574    -7.69   0.000    -28.65832   -17.01389
     pdsrfc2 |  -621.7872   69.53403    -8.94   0.000    -758.0714    -485.503
       tp2r1 |   2.591112   .1918797    13.50   0.000     2.215035     2.96719
       tp2r2 |   2.672781   .2016078    13.26   0.000     2.277637    3.067925
        year |  -.3744986   .0261811   -14.30   0.000    -.4258125   -.3231847
      gattl1 |   .1421061   .0120138    11.83   0.000     .1185595    .1656528
      round2 |    1.82739    .159794    11.44   0.000       1.5142    2.140581
       bad14 |   1.098168   .1116736     9.83   0.000     .8792916    1.317044
        f123 |  -.9200931   .6331111    -1.45   0.146    -2.160968    .3207818
        f_14 |   .5732198   .1266642     4.53   0.000     .3249625    .8214771
      spldy1 |    .061831   .0079567     7.77   0.000     .0462362    .0774258
      spldy2 |  -.0841862   .0086067    -9.78   0.000    -.1010549   -.0673174
      spldy3 |   .0706719   .0056849    12.43   0.000     .0595298     .081814
      spldy4 |  -.0474116   .0034267   -13.84   0.000    -.0541278   -.0406953
      spldy5 |   .0271054   .0020775    13.05   0.000     .0230335    .0311773
      spldy6 |  -.0077734   .0007044   -11.04   0.000    -.0091541   -.0063928
       _cons |   723.0374   50.78565    14.24   0.000     623.4994    822.5755
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 10 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side
> _a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2560.4628
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1911.9283
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1500.2218
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1345.2819
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1300.6222
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1294.7119
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1294.5563
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1294.5562

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      77950
                                                  Wald chi2(29)   =    1571.91
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1294.5562                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4944

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .5921513   .1337049     4.43   0.000     .3300945    .8542082
    distance |  -.4691217   .0349912   -13.41   0.000    -.5377032   -.4005402
     demp981 |   .0553016   .0086633     6.38   0.000     .0383219    .0722813
     demp982 |    .041945   .0088943     4.72   0.000     .0245124    .0593776
        tr95 |   41.16073    6.15791     6.68   0.000     29.09145    53.23001
          g1 |  -.3256337   .1418171    -2.30   0.022      -.60359   -.0476773
          g2 |  -.3473591   .2267233    -1.53   0.126    -.7917285    .0970104
         gc1 |  -.0196652   .0069571    -2.83   0.005    -.0333009   -.0060296
         gc2 |   .0003364   .0069594     0.05   0.961    -.0133037    .0139765
     growth1 |  -.0235135   .0126894    -1.85   0.064    -.0483842    .0013573
     growth2 |  -.0136378   .0127983    -1.07   0.287     -.038722    .0114464
      pdsrfc |  -41.72087   4.427345    -9.42   0.000    -50.39831   -33.04344
     pdsrfc2 |  -259.8977   90.03891    -2.89   0.004    -436.3707   -83.42467
       tp2r1 |   3.667126   .2483181    14.77   0.000     3.180432    4.153821
       tp2r2 |   3.879915   .2469216    15.71   0.000     3.395958    4.363872
        year |   -.033244   .0252189    -1.32   0.187    -.0826722    .0161842
    dtgattl1 |   .2741383   .0361846     7.58   0.000     .2032178    .3450589
      round2 |   1.778944   .1820587     9.77   0.000     1.422115    2.135772
       bad14 |   1.540683   .1448428    10.64   0.000     1.256796    1.824569
        f123 |  -.4938907   .7429513    -0.66   0.506    -1.950048     .962267
        f_14 |   .6197905    .161173     3.85   0.000     .3038972    .9356839
     fmrcolb |   2.404932   .2210333    10.88   0.000     1.971715    2.838149
     postcom |   2.939807   .2185935    13.45   0.000     2.511372    3.368243
      spldy1 |   .0892184   .0092927     9.60   0.000      .071005    .1074318
      spldy2 |  -.1033388    .010184   -10.15   0.000     -.123299   -.0833786
      spldy3 |   .0747509   .0068221    10.96   0.000     .0613799    .0881219
      spldy4 |  -.0460542   .0042281   -10.89   0.000    -.0543412   -.0377672
      spldy5 |   .0258206   .0027306     9.46   0.000     .0204687    .0311725
      spldy6 |  -.0074036   .0010001    -7.40   0.000    -.0093637   -.0054434
       _cons |   58.88111   49.97969     1.18   0.239    -39.07729    156.8395
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 18 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. use pta2, clear
(June 2002 GATT/WTO Directed Dyad Year PTA Dataset)

. 
. * tests in bottom paragraph page 851, top page 852 *
. * Country Fixed-Effects *
. tab stnum, gen(fes1_)

  COW State |
       Code |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          2 |      3,752        1.15        1.15
         20 |      3,752        1.15        2.30
         40 |      3,752        1.15        3.45
         41 |      3,709        1.14        4.58
         42 |      3,709        1.14        5.72
         51 |      3,247        0.99        6.71
         52 |      3,290        1.01        7.72
         53 |      2,991        0.92        8.64
         54 |        751        0.23        8.87
         55 |        639        0.20        9.06
         56 |        751        0.23        9.29
         57 |        751        0.23        9.52
         58 |      1,340        0.41        9.93
         60 |        639        0.20       10.13
         70 |      1,431        0.44       10.57
         80 |      1,698        0.52       11.09
         90 |        957        0.29       11.38
         91 |        639        0.20       11.58
         92 |        957        0.29       11.87
         93 |      3,709        1.14       13.00
         94 |      1,056        0.32       13.33
         95 |        261        0.08       13.41
        100 |      1,870        0.57       13.98
        101 |      1,056        0.32       14.30
        110 |      3,060        0.94       15.24
        115 |      2,121        0.65       15.89
        130 |        387        0.12       16.01
        135 |      3,677        1.13       17.14
        140 |      3,752        1.15       18.28
        145 |      1,056        0.32       18.61
        150 |        639        0.20       18.80
        155 |      3,731        1.14       19.95
        160 |      2,991        0.92       20.86
        165 |      3,609        1.11       21.97
        200 |      3,752        1.15       23.12
        205 |      2,991        0.92       24.03
        210 |      3,752        1.15       25.18
        211 |      3,752        1.15       26.33
        212 |      3,752        1.15       27.48
        220 |      3,752        1.15       28.63
        223 |        639        0.20       28.82
        225 |      3,060        0.94       29.76
        230 |      3,247        0.99       30.76
        235 |      3,290        1.01       31.76
        255 |      3,677        1.13       32.89
        290 |      2,991        0.92       33.81
        305 |      3,677        1.13       34.93
        310 |      2,531        0.78       35.71
        315 |      3,001        0.92       36.63
        316 |        751        0.23       36.86
        317 |        751        0.23       37.09
        325 |      3,709        1.14       38.22
        338 |      3,188        0.98       39.20
        345 |      2,309        0.71       39.91
        349 |        639        0.20       40.10
        350 |      3,709        1.14       41.24
        352 |      3,247        0.99       42.23
        355 |        387        0.12       42.35
        360 |      2,690        0.82       43.17
        375 |      3,709        1.14       44.31
        380 |      3,709        1.14       45.45
        385 |      3,752        1.15       46.59
        390 |      3,709        1.14       47.73
        395 |      2,917        0.89       48.62
        404 |        639        0.20       48.82
        420 |      3,125        0.96       49.78
        432 |        751        0.23       50.01
        433 |      3,247        0.99       51.00
        434 |      3,247        0.99       51.99
        435 |      3,247        0.99       52.99
        436 |      3,247        0.99       53.98
        437 |      3,247        0.99       54.98
        438 |        639        0.20       55.17
        439 |      3,247        0.99       56.17
        450 |        134        0.04       56.21
        451 |      3,329        1.02       57.23
        452 |      3,474        1.06       58.29
        461 |      3,188        0.98       59.27
        471 |      3,247        0.99       60.26
        475 |      3,366        1.03       61.29
        481 |      3,247        0.99       62.29
        482 |      3,247        0.99       63.28
        483 |      3,247        0.99       64.28
        484 |      3,121        0.96       65.23
        490 |      2,564        0.79       66.02
        500 |      3,290        1.01       67.03
        501 |      3,188        0.98       68.00
        510 |      3,329        1.02       69.02
        516 |      3,125        0.96       69.98
        517 |      3,060        0.94       70.92
        522 |        639        0.20       71.11
        540 |        639        0.20       71.31
        541 |        855        0.26       71.57
        551 |      1,785        0.55       72.12
        552 |      3,752        1.15       73.26
        553 |      3,188        0.98       74.24
        560 |      3,752        1.15       75.39
        565 |        855        0.26       75.65
        570 |      1,246        0.38       76.03
        571 |      1,340        0.41       76.44
        572 |        751        0.23       76.67
        590 |      2,767        0.85       77.52
        600 |      1,340        0.41       77.93
        616 |      1,056        0.32       78.26
        640 |      3,677        1.13       79.38
        651 |      2,767        0.85       80.23
        652 |        110        0.03       80.26
        660 |        110        0.03       80.30
        666 |      3,290        1.01       81.30
        690 |      3,247        0.99       82.30
        692 |        751        0.23       82.53
        694 |        639        0.20       82.72
        696 |        639        0.20       82.92
        703 |        131        0.04       82.96
        712 |        261        0.08       83.04
        713 |         75        0.02       83.06
        732 |      2,991        0.92       83.98
        740 |      3,542        1.08       85.06
        750 |      3,752        1.15       86.21
        770 |      3,752        1.15       87.36
        771 |      2,611        0.80       88.16
        775 |      3,752        1.15       89.31
        780 |      3,752        1.15       90.46
        781 |      1,698        0.52       90.98
        800 |      1,785        0.55       91.53
        820 |      3,474        1.06       92.59
        830 |      2,531        0.78       93.36
        835 |        751        0.23       93.59
        840 |      2,038        0.62       94.22
        850 |      3,709        1.14       95.35
        900 |      3,752        1.15       96.50
        910 |        639        0.20       96.70
        920 |      3,752        1.15       97.85
        940 |        639        0.20       98.04
        950 |        751        0.23       98.27
        996 |      3,247        0.99       99.27
        997 |      1,431        0.44       99.71
        998 |        957        0.29      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |    326,530      100.00

. tab stnum2, gen(fes2_)

  COW State |
      Code, |
    Partner |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          2 |      3,752        1.15        1.15
         20 |      3,752        1.15        2.30
         40 |      3,752        1.15        3.45
         41 |      3,709        1.14        4.58
         42 |      3,709        1.14        5.72
         51 |      3,247        0.99        6.71
         52 |      3,290        1.01        7.72
         53 |      2,991        0.92        8.64
         54 |        751        0.23        8.87
         55 |        639        0.20        9.06
         56 |        751        0.23        9.29
         57 |        751        0.23        9.52
         58 |      1,340        0.41        9.93
         60 |        639        0.20       10.13
         70 |      1,431        0.44       10.57
         80 |      1,698        0.52       11.09
         90 |        957        0.29       11.38
         91 |        639        0.20       11.58
         92 |        957        0.29       11.87
         93 |      3,709        1.14       13.00
         94 |      1,056        0.32       13.33
         95 |        261        0.08       13.41
        100 |      1,870        0.57       13.98
        101 |      1,056        0.32       14.30
        110 |      3,060        0.94       15.24
        115 |      2,121        0.65       15.89
        130 |        387        0.12       16.01
        135 |      3,677        1.13       17.14
        140 |      3,752        1.15       18.28
        145 |      1,056        0.32       18.61
        150 |        639        0.20       18.80
        155 |      3,731        1.14       19.95
        160 |      2,991        0.92       20.86
        165 |      3,609        1.11       21.97
        200 |      3,752        1.15       23.12
        205 |      2,991        0.92       24.03
        210 |      3,752        1.15       25.18
        211 |      3,752        1.15       26.33
        212 |      3,752        1.15       27.48
        220 |      3,752        1.15       28.63
        223 |        639        0.20       28.82
        225 |      3,060        0.94       29.76
        230 |      3,247        0.99       30.76
        235 |      3,290        1.01       31.76
        255 |      3,677        1.13       32.89
        290 |      2,991        0.92       33.81
        305 |      3,677        1.13       34.93
        310 |      2,531        0.78       35.71
        315 |      3,001        0.92       36.63
        316 |        751        0.23       36.86
        317 |        751        0.23       37.09
        325 |      3,709        1.14       38.22
        338 |      3,188        0.98       39.20
        345 |      2,309        0.71       39.91
        349 |        639        0.20       40.10
        350 |      3,709        1.14       41.24
        352 |      3,247        0.99       42.23
        355 |        387        0.12       42.35
        360 |      2,690        0.82       43.17
        375 |      3,709        1.14       44.31
        380 |      3,709        1.14       45.45
        385 |      3,752        1.15       46.59
        390 |      3,709        1.14       47.73
        395 |      2,917        0.89       48.62
        404 |        639        0.20       48.82
        420 |      3,125        0.96       49.78
        432 |        751        0.23       50.01
        433 |      3,247        0.99       51.00
        434 |      3,247        0.99       51.99
        435 |      3,247        0.99       52.99
        436 |      3,247        0.99       53.98
        437 |      3,247        0.99       54.98
        438 |        639        0.20       55.17
        439 |      3,247        0.99       56.17
        450 |        134        0.04       56.21
        451 |      3,329        1.02       57.23
        452 |      3,474        1.06       58.29
        461 |      3,188        0.98       59.27
        471 |      3,247        0.99       60.26
        475 |      3,366        1.03       61.29
        481 |      3,247        0.99       62.29
        482 |      3,247        0.99       63.28
        483 |      3,247        0.99       64.28
        484 |      3,121        0.96       65.23
        490 |      2,564        0.79       66.02
        500 |      3,290        1.01       67.03
        501 |      3,188        0.98       68.00
        510 |      3,329        1.02       69.02
        516 |      3,125        0.96       69.98
        517 |      3,060        0.94       70.92
        522 |        639        0.20       71.11
        540 |        639        0.20       71.31
        541 |        855        0.26       71.57
        551 |      1,785        0.55       72.12
        552 |      3,752        1.15       73.26
        553 |      3,188        0.98       74.24
        560 |      3,752        1.15       75.39
        565 |        855        0.26       75.65
        570 |      1,246        0.38       76.03
        571 |      1,340        0.41       76.44
        572 |        751        0.23       76.67
        590 |      2,767        0.85       77.52
        600 |      1,340        0.41       77.93
        616 |      1,056        0.32       78.26
        640 |      3,677        1.13       79.38
        651 |      2,767        0.85       80.23
        652 |        110        0.03       80.26
        660 |        110        0.03       80.30
        666 |      3,290        1.01       81.30
        690 |      3,247        0.99       82.30
        692 |        751        0.23       82.53
        694 |        639        0.20       82.72
        696 |        639        0.20       82.92
        703 |        131        0.04       82.96
        712 |        261        0.08       83.04
        713 |         75        0.02       83.06
        732 |      2,991        0.92       83.98
        740 |      3,542        1.08       85.06
        750 |      3,752        1.15       86.21
        770 |      3,752        1.15       87.36
        771 |      2,611        0.80       88.16
        775 |      3,752        1.15       89.31
        780 |      3,752        1.15       90.46
        781 |      1,698        0.52       90.98
        800 |      1,785        0.55       91.53
        820 |      3,474        1.06       92.59
        830 |      2,531        0.78       93.36
        835 |        751        0.23       93.59
        840 |      2,038        0.62       94.22
        850 |      3,709        1.14       95.35
        900 |      3,752        1.15       96.50
        910 |        639        0.20       96.70
        920 |      3,752        1.15       97.85
        940 |        639        0.20       98.04
        950 |        751        0.23       98.27
        996 |      3,247        0.99       99.27
        997 |      1,431        0.44       99.71
        998 |        957        0.29      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |    326,530      100.00

. 
. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 1379 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 1415 obs not used

note: fes1_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_15 dropped and 751 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 228 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 208 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 1449 obs not used

note: fes1_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_21 dropped and 334 obs not used

note: fes1_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_23 dropped and 1162 obs not used

note: fes1_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_24 dropped and 341 obs not used

note: fes1_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_29 dropped and 2175 obs not used

note: fes1_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_30 dropped and 329 obs not used

note: fes1_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_32 dropped and 1890 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 2009 obs not used

note: fes1_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_49 dropped and 651 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 1402 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 70 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 1679 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 1925 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 2115 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 1563 obs not used

note: fes1_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_88 dropped and 704 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 152 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 861 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 1641 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 1732 obs not used

note: fes1_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_97 dropped and 2542 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 65 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 158 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 226 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 632 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 385 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 1387 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 74 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 1813 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 2727 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 2493 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 2448 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 1606 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 1739 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 2296 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 1105 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 2189 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 1697 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 1216 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 2167 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 83 obs not used

note: fes2_3 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_3 dropped and 1179 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 1073 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 1066 obs not used

note: fes2_9 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_9 dropped and 31 obs not used

note: fes2_11 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_11 dropped and 23 obs not used

note: fes2_12 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_12 dropped and 26 obs not used

note: fes2_13 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_13 dropped and 167 obs not used

note: fes2_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_15 dropped and 395 obs not used

note: fes2_16 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_16 dropped and 384 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 115 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 108 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 1011 obs not used

note: fes2_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_21 dropped and 169 obs not used

note: fes2_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_23 dropped and 639 obs not used

note: fes2_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_24 dropped and 172 obs not used

note: fes2_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_30 dropped and 172 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 1132 obs not used

note: fes2_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_54 dropped and 1234 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 910 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 41 obs not used

note: fes2_75 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_75 dropped and 17 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 1079 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 1304 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 1346 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 987 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 79 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 507 obs not used

note: fes2_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_95 dropped and 1023 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 1056 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 1454 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 99 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 144 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 29 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 338 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 191 obs not used

note: fes2_107 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_107 dropped and 7 obs not used

note: fes2_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_108 dropped and 6 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 968 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 37 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 1118 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 1558 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 1534 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 1439 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 901 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 1110 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 1406 obs not used

note: fes2_124 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_124 dropped and 306 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 595 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 1244 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 939 obs not used

note: fes2_128 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_128 dropped and 32 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 703 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 1324 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 39 obs not used

note: fes1_1 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_36 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -4481.7165
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -3291.7861
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -2783.1073
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -2579.7637
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -2521.2138
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -2510.6019
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -2509.1717
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -2508.9504
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -2508.9233
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -2508.9226
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -2508.9226

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      57041
                                                  Wald chi2(129)  =    2550.02
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -2508.9226                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4402

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .3401419   .1752183     1.94   0.052    -.0032798    .6835635
    distance |  -.6472031   .0570796   -11.34   0.000     -.759077   -.5353292
     demp981 |   .2162755   .0136971    15.79   0.000     .1894297    .2431213
        tr95 |   73.42705   16.66742     4.41   0.000      40.7595    106.0946
          g1 |   -.278131   .2995333    -0.93   0.353    -.8652054    .3089434
         gc1 |   .2327458    .019567    11.89   0.000     .1943952    .2710964
     growth1 |   -.023856   .0100726    -2.37   0.018     -.043598    -.004114
      pdsrfc |  -34.14695   3.526795    -9.68   0.000    -41.05934   -27.23456
     pdsrfc2 |  -256.5943   65.53203    -3.92   0.000    -385.0347   -128.1539
       tp2r1 |   3.760315   .2689674    13.98   0.000     3.233149    4.287482
        year |  -.5714192   .0405984   -14.07   0.000    -.6509905   -.4918478
      gattl1 |   .2327007   .0232963     9.99   0.000     .1870408    .2783607
      round2 |   1.826177   .1688852    10.81   0.000     1.495168    2.157186
       bad14 |   1.001941   .1526037     6.57   0.000     .7028435    1.301039
        f123 |  -.8335699   1.433733    -0.58   0.561    -3.643634    1.976494
        f_14 |    .411864   .1575196     2.61   0.009     .1031313    .7205967
      spldy1 |    .077805   .0092586     8.40   0.000     .0596585    .0959514
      spldy2 |  -.1049795   .0098803   -10.63   0.000    -.1243444   -.0856145
      spldy3 |   .0861036   .0068148    12.63   0.000     .0727469    .0994603
      spldy4 |   -.055786    .004546   -12.27   0.000    -.0646959    -.046876
      spldy5 |   .0314631   .0030031    10.48   0.000     .0255772    .0373491
      spldy6 |  -.0092682   .0011238    -8.25   0.000    -.0114707   -.0070657
      fes1_2 |  -2.504693   1.809262    -1.38   0.166    -6.050782    1.041396
      fes1_6 |   6.621931   1.866543     3.55   0.000     2.963574    10.28029
      fes1_7 |   6.672811   1.887903     3.53   0.000     2.972588    10.37303
     fes1_25 |    9.04482   1.915938     4.72   0.000      5.28965    12.79999
     fes1_28 |   7.835954   1.905618     4.11   0.000     4.101011     11.5709
     fes1_34 |   7.491341   1.928147     3.89   0.000     3.712243    11.27044
     fes1_35 |   4.432973   1.724675     2.57   0.010     1.052672    7.813274
     fes1_36 |   6.742482   1.806468     3.73   0.000     3.201869     10.2831
     fes1_37 |   4.686058   1.813357     2.58   0.010     1.131943    8.240173
     fes1_38 |   4.572661   1.817822     2.52   0.012     1.009796    8.135527
     fes1_39 |   3.335203   1.883145     1.77   0.077     -.355693    7.026099
     fes1_40 |   5.165767   1.704509     3.03   0.002     1.824991    8.506543
     fes1_42 |  -2.193809   1.914671    -1.15   0.252    -5.946495    1.558877
     fes1_43 |   7.480391   1.788543     4.18   0.000     3.974911    10.98587
     fes1_44 |   7.910908   1.809546     4.37   0.000     4.364264    11.45755
     fes1_45 |   6.040975   1.658845     3.64   0.000     2.789698    9.292252
     fes1_46 |   8.563968   1.815941     4.72   0.000     5.004789    12.12315
     fes1_47 |    2.85112   1.817472     1.57   0.117    -.7110601      6.4133
     fes1_48 |   9.567751   1.820989     5.25   0.000     5.998679    13.13682
     fes1_52 |   6.088938   1.731031     3.52   0.000     2.696179    9.481697
     fes1_56 |   6.507635   1.792066     3.63   0.000      2.99525    10.02002
     fes1_57 |    5.84929   1.816622     3.22   0.001     2.288777    9.409803
     fes1_59 |   9.997873   1.828768     5.47   0.000     6.413554    13.58219
     fes1_60 |   3.397468    1.83463     1.85   0.064    -.1983414    6.993276
     fes1_61 |   2.388286   1.837061     1.30   0.194    -1.212288    5.988859
     fes1_62 |    2.62941   1.842279     1.43   0.154    -.9813906    6.240211
     fes1_63 |   3.041151   1.836388     1.66   0.098    -.5581035    6.640405
     fes1_64 |   4.533661   1.844806     2.46   0.014      .917909    8.149414
     fes1_68 |   9.390761   1.869977     5.02   0.000     5.725674    13.05585
     fes1_69 |   9.146271   1.905048     4.80   0.000     5.412445     12.8801
     fes1_70 |   10.70748   1.846071     5.80   0.000     7.089243    14.32571
     fes1_71 |   11.18812   1.843532     6.07   0.000     7.574868    14.80138
     fes1_72 |   11.30967   1.849212     6.12   0.000     7.685284    14.93406
     fes1_74 |   10.58573   1.827573     5.79   0.000     7.003757    14.16771
     fes1_78 |   10.86078   1.841278     5.90   0.000     7.251942    14.46962
     fes1_79 |   10.65515   1.848475     5.76   0.000     7.032204    14.27809
     fes1_81 |   10.56048   1.851614     5.70   0.000     6.931385    14.18958
     fes1_82 |   10.84902    1.85576     5.85   0.000     7.211797    14.48624
     fes1_83 |   11.17796    1.85914     6.01   0.000     7.534114    14.82181
     fes1_84 |    10.8259   1.844215     5.87   0.000     7.211304    14.44049
     fes1_86 |   9.901146   1.904627     5.20   0.000     6.168147    13.63415
     fes1_87 |   10.00914   1.837841     5.45   0.000     6.407042    13.61125
     fes1_89 |   9.441869   1.973656     4.78   0.000     5.573575    13.31016
     fes1_90 |   9.487217   1.974317     4.81   0.000     5.617628    13.35681
    fes1_102 |   9.608252   1.826789     5.26   0.000     6.027812    13.18869
    fes1_105 |    7.35626   1.789278     4.11   0.000      3.84934    10.86318
    fes1_106 |   10.82727   1.840918     5.88   0.000     7.219141    14.43541
    fes1_109 |    4.73309   1.758395     2.69   0.007     1.286699     8.17948
    fes1_131 |   3.213837    1.83848     1.75   0.080    -.3895169    6.817191
    fes1_133 |   5.210894   1.933826     2.69   0.007     1.420665    9.001123
      fes2_1 |   -5.33709   2.369289    -2.25   0.024    -9.980812   -.6933682
      fes2_2 |  -7.151802   1.467207    -4.87   0.000    -10.02748   -4.276129
      fes2_6 |  -1.599274   .7016046    -2.28   0.023    -2.974394   -.2241542
      fes2_7 |  -1.630416   .7167085    -2.27   0.023    -3.035139   -.2256934
      fes2_8 |  -.9017424   .6305853    -1.43   0.153    -2.137667     .334182
     fes2_25 |  -1.122529   .7810567    -1.44   0.151    -2.653372    .4083138
     fes2_26 |  -1.113265   .4864403    -2.29   0.022    -2.066671     -.15986
     fes2_28 |  -1.877625   1.095652    -1.71   0.087    -4.025063    .2698139
     fes2_29 |  -2.485314   .7772852    -3.20   0.001    -4.008765   -.9618635
     fes2_32 |  -1.563318   .7089376    -2.21   0.027     -2.95281   -.1738256
     fes2_34 |  -1.521714   .8645009    -1.76   0.078    -3.216105    .1726766
     fes2_35 |  -1.202723   .2805264    -4.29   0.000    -1.752545   -.6529012
     fes2_37 |  -1.348591   .2530616    -5.33   0.000    -1.844582   -.8525989
     fes2_38 |  -1.416457   .2549439    -5.56   0.000    -1.916138   -.9167758
     fes2_39 |  -1.345908    .253059    -5.32   0.000    -1.841894   -.8499211
     fes2_40 |  -1.280367    .255475    -5.01   0.000    -1.781088   -.7796449
     fes2_42 |  -2.041912     .31995    -6.38   0.000    -2.669002   -1.414821
     fes2_43 |  -1.343243   .2493894    -5.39   0.000    -1.832037   -.8544488
     fes2_44 |  -2.271474   .3861965    -5.88   0.000    -3.028405   -1.514543
     fes2_45 |  -1.034474   .2567424    -4.03   0.000     -1.53768   -.5312679
     fes2_46 |   -1.42785      .3256    -4.39   0.000    -2.066014   -.7896854
     fes2_47 |  -1.589431   .2845981    -5.58   0.000    -2.147233   -1.031629
     fes2_48 |  -.4795514   .3640118    -1.32   0.188    -1.193001    .2338986
     fes2_49 |  -5.288962   1.191272    -4.44   0.000    -7.623813   -2.954112
     fes2_52 |   -1.20636   .2303924    -5.24   0.000     -1.65792    -.754799
     fes2_53 |   -1.75183   .3356949    -5.22   0.000     -2.40978    -1.09388
     fes2_56 |  -1.685851   .2900987    -5.81   0.000    -2.254434   -1.117268
     fes2_57 |  -1.696519   .2865879    -5.92   0.000    -2.258221   -1.134817
     fes2_59 |  -1.162509   .3597803    -3.23   0.001    -1.867665   -.4573522
     fes2_60 |  -1.414411   .3646805    -3.88   0.000    -2.129172   -.6996503
     fes2_61 |  -1.707821   .3027433    -5.64   0.000    -2.301187   -1.114455
     fes2_62 |  -2.146223   .4167554    -5.15   0.000    -2.963048   -1.329397
     fes2_63 |  -.9523086   .2581276    -3.69   0.000    -1.458229   -.4463878
     fes2_64 |  -.2127779   .3294644    -0.65   0.518    -.8585163    .4329605
     fes2_68 |  -.5244318   .2851087    -1.84   0.066    -1.083235    .0343711
     fes2_69 |  -.5225391   .2627079    -1.99   0.047    -1.037437    -.007641
     fes2_70 |  -.6889102    .293773    -2.35   0.019    -1.264695   -.1131257
     fes2_71 |  -.7640844   .2829443    -2.70   0.007    -1.318645   -.2095237
     fes2_72 |  -.4803929   .2747419    -1.75   0.080    -1.018877    .0580914
     fes2_74 |   -.847276   .2798382    -3.03   0.002    -1.395749   -.2988031
     fes2_78 |  -.5872476   .2797301    -2.10   0.036    -1.135508   -.0389867
     fes2_79 |  -.7871749   .3152344    -2.50   0.013    -1.405023   -.1693267
     fes2_81 |  -.5004034   .3050637    -1.64   0.101    -1.098317    .0975106
     fes2_82 |  -.6024629   .3163367    -1.90   0.057    -1.222471    .0175456
     fes2_83 |  -.9001239    .296575    -3.04   0.002      -1.4814   -.3188475
     fes2_84 |   -.336806   .3132073    -1.08   0.282     -.950681     .277069
     fes2_86 |  -.7348722   .3424369    -2.15   0.032    -1.406036   -.0637082
     fes2_87 |  -1.134113   .3889013    -2.92   0.004    -1.896345   -.3718804
     fes2_88 |  -.5894338   .4070577    -1.45   0.148    -1.387252    .2083846
     fes2_89 |  -1.502398   .5284395    -2.84   0.004    -2.538121   -.4666757
     fes2_90 |   -1.94183   .7000492    -2.77   0.006    -3.313901   -.5697591
    fes2_102 |   2.055736   .4001425     5.14   0.000     1.271472    2.840001
    fes2_105 |  -1.842424   .3159048    -5.83   0.000    -2.461586   -1.223262
    fes2_106 |  -1.969584   .4766638    -4.13   0.000    -2.903827    -1.03534
    fes2_109 |  -1.447263   .2771002    -5.22   0.000    -1.990369   -.9041561
    fes2_131 |  -1.760047   .8127743    -2.17   0.030    -3.353055   -.1670383
    fes2_133 |  -.5943945   .6145857    -0.97   0.333     -1.79896    .6101713
       _cons |   1097.238   78.38073    14.00   0.000     943.6146    1250.861
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 143 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 s
> pldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 3156 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 3376 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 893 obs not used

note: fes1_18 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_18 dropped and 593 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 893 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 3412 obs not used

note: fes1_31 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_31 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 2799 obs not used

note: fes1_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_54 dropped and 2170 obs not used

note: fes1_65 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_65 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 2995 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 699 obs not used

note: fes1_73 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_73 dropped and 593 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 3222 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 2920 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 3178 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 2140 obs not used

note: fes1_91 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_91 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 823 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 1736 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 3337 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 2995 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 823 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 1205 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 1297 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 722 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 1262 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 1019 obs not used

note: fes1_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_108 dropped and 32 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 3022 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 722 obs not used

note: fes1_112 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_112 dropped and 609 obs not used

note: fes1_113 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_113 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 2742 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 3474 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 3609 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 3528 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 2473 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 3630 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 3630 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 1736 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 3370 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 2473 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 1894 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 3328 obs not used

note: fes1_132 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_132 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 722 obs not used

note: fes2_3 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_3 dropped and 2275 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 2252 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 2252 obs not used

note: fes2_9 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_9 dropped and 346 obs not used

note: fes2_10 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_10 dropped and 293 obs not used

note: fes2_11 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_11 dropped and 346 obs not used

note: fes2_12 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_12 dropped and 346 obs not used

note: fes2_13 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_13 dropped and 677 obs not used

note: fes2_14 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_14 dropped and 293 obs not used

note: fes2_16 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_16 dropped and 890 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 472 obs not used

note: fes2_18 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_18 dropped and 303 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 472 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 2243 obs not used

note: fes2_31 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_31 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 1669 obs not used

note: fes2_41 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_41 dropped and 183 obs not used

note: fes2_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_54 dropped and 1476 obs not used

note: fes2_65 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_65 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 1881 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 358 obs not used

note: fes2_73 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_73 dropped and 303 obs not used

note: fes2_75 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_75 dropped and 73 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 2011 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 2040 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 2035 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 1533 obs not used

note: fes2_91 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_91 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_92 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_92 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 421 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 994 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 1922 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 2225 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 421 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 655 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 713 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 364 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 701 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 539 obs not used

note: fes2_107 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_107 dropped and 55 obs not used

note: fes2_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_108 dropped and 55 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 1963 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 364 obs not used

note: fes2_112 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_112 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_113 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_113 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_116 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_116 dropped and 12 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 1794 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 2150 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 2275 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 2275 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 1538 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 2275 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 2275 obs not used

note: fes2_124 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_124 dropped and 938 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 994 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 2104 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 1484 obs not used

note: fes2_128 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_128 dropped and 364 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 1156 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 2252 obs not used

note: fes2_132 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_132 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_134 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_134 dropped and 308 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 364 obs not used

note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5659.7789
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4284.3767
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3692.0872
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3454.8585
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3388.2879
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3378.8567
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3378.3986
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3378.3927
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -3378.3927

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     101822
                                                  Wald chi2(148)  =    3023.80
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3378.3927                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4031

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |   -.787018   .0478546   -16.45   0.000    -.8808113   -.6932248
     demp981 |   .1510608   .0125211    12.06   0.000     .1265199    .1756016
          g1 |   .1827908   .2083888     0.88   0.380    -.2256438    .5912254
         gc1 |   .1949162   .0145905    13.36   0.000     .1663193    .2235131
      pdsrfc |  -21.55515   2.597025    -8.30   0.000    -26.64523   -16.46508
     pdsrfc2 |  -544.1238    64.2912    -8.46   0.000    -670.1322   -418.1153
       tp2r1 |   3.197808   .2314252    13.82   0.000     2.744223    3.651393
        year |  -.4617454   .0301154   -15.33   0.000    -.5207706   -.4027203
      gattl1 |    .154364    .012065    12.79   0.000      .130717     .178011
      round2 |   1.940443   .1621425    11.97   0.000     1.622649    2.258236
       bad14 |   .9601429   .1324419     7.25   0.000     .7005615    1.219724
        f123 |  -1.201342   .6801266    -1.77   0.077    -2.534366    .1316811
        f_14 |   .5536054   .1405893     3.94   0.000     .2780555    .8291554
      spldy1 |   .0566844   .0079023     7.17   0.000     .0411961    .0721727
      spldy2 |  -.0856215   .0084098   -10.18   0.000    -.1021044   -.0691385
      spldy3 |   .0760614   .0057992    13.12   0.000     .0646951    .0874277
      spldy4 |  -.0507623   .0037559   -13.52   0.000    -.0581237   -.0434008
      spldy5 |   .0281493   .0022561    12.48   0.000     .0237273    .0325712
      spldy6 |  -.0079107   .0007341   -10.78   0.000    -.0093495   -.0064718
      fes1_1 |   -8.93048   1.714785    -5.21   0.000     -12.2914   -5.569563
      fes1_2 |  -7.670151   1.581029    -4.85   0.000    -10.76891    -4.57139
      fes1_6 |   -3.18227   1.395709    -2.28   0.023     -5.91781   -.4467308
      fes1_7 |  -3.276552   1.409545    -2.32   0.020    -6.039209   -.5138956
     fes1_15 |   1.165837    1.25753     0.93   0.354    -1.298877    3.630551
     fes1_21 |  -1.419579   1.417109    -1.00   0.316    -4.197062    1.357904
     fes1_23 |  -1.716017   1.353834    -1.27   0.205    -4.369482    .9374482
     fes1_24 |  -.8440785   1.322042    -0.64   0.523    -3.435233    1.747076
     fes1_25 |  -1.469817    1.41405    -1.04   0.299    -4.241304    1.301671
     fes1_28 |  -2.702618   1.395976    -1.94   0.053    -5.438681    .0334448
     fes1_29 |  -3.569934    1.41909    -2.52   0.012    -6.351298    -.788569
     fes1_30 |  -.8580941   1.543464    -0.56   0.578    -3.883228     2.16704
     fes1_32 |  -2.460777   1.386637    -1.77   0.076    -5.178536    .2569816
     fes1_34 |   -3.00195   1.394885    -2.15   0.031    -5.735875   -.2680255
     fes1_35 |  -4.721999   1.352327    -3.49   0.000    -7.372511   -2.071487
     fes1_36 |  -2.783781    1.26719    -2.20   0.028    -5.267427   -.3001345
     fes1_37 |  -4.889844   1.351026    -3.62   0.000    -7.537806   -2.241882
     fes1_38 |   -4.85441   1.348578    -3.60   0.000    -7.497574   -2.211245
     fes1_39 |  -5.948285   1.380086    -4.31   0.000    -8.653204   -3.243366
     fes1_40 |  -4.635359   1.363538    -3.40   0.001    -7.307845   -1.962874
     fes1_42 |  -10.37841   1.387237    -7.48   0.000    -13.09735   -7.659479
     fes1_43 |  -2.643841   1.306761    -2.02   0.043    -5.205045   -.0826369
     fes1_44 |  -2.251601   1.315133    -1.71   0.087    -4.829215    .3260129
     fes1_45 |  -4.205832    1.37116    -3.07   0.002    -6.893256   -1.518407
     fes1_46 |  -1.715691   1.271014    -1.35   0.177    -4.206833    .7754511
     fes1_47 |   -5.91886   1.350647    -4.38   0.000     -8.56608   -3.271641
     fes1_48 |  -.9996225   1.238659    -0.81   0.420    -3.427349    1.428104
     fes1_49 |  -4.588693   1.722333    -2.66   0.008    -7.964404   -1.212982
     fes1_50 |  -.9936494   1.547952    -0.64   0.521     -4.02758    2.040281
     fes1_52 |  -3.840439   1.338724    -2.87   0.004    -6.464291   -1.216588
     fes1_55 |  -4.822555   .8858051    -5.44   0.000    -6.558701   -3.086409
     fes1_56 |   -3.34287   1.338197    -2.50   0.012    -5.965689   -.7200517
     fes1_57 |  -3.815796   1.298933    -2.94   0.003    -6.361657   -1.269935
     fes1_59 |  -.6220282    1.26024    -0.49   0.622    -3.092052    1.847996
     fes1_60 |  -5.355194   1.368032    -3.91   0.000    -8.036487   -2.673901
     fes1_61 |  -6.410227   1.377744    -4.65   0.000    -9.110556   -3.709898
     fes1_62 |  -6.328387   1.386989    -4.56   0.000    -9.046836   -3.609937
     fes1_63 |   -5.95431   1.361633    -4.37   0.000    -8.623061   -3.285559
     fes1_64 |  -4.355156    1.28717    -3.38   0.001    -6.877963   -1.832349
     fes1_68 |  -1.225227   1.333011    -0.92   0.358     -3.83788    1.387426
     fes1_69 |  -1.432614   1.347128    -1.06   0.288    -4.072936    1.207707
     fes1_70 |   .2725226   1.305472     0.21   0.835    -2.286156    2.831202
     fes1_71 |    .127598   1.298183     0.10   0.922    -2.416794     2.67199
     fes1_72 |   .5039735   1.311346     0.38   0.701    -2.066218    3.074165
     fes1_74 |      .2442   1.301506     0.19   0.851    -2.306704    2.795104
     fes1_78 |   .4067401   1.301681     0.31   0.755    -2.144509    2.957989
     fes1_79 |   .2126622   1.311108     0.16   0.871    -2.357063    2.782387
     fes1_81 |  -.0040072    1.31399    -0.00   0.998     -2.57938    2.571366
     fes1_82 |   .1390043   1.308797     0.11   0.915    -2.426192      2.7042
     fes1_83 |   .4762609   1.309045     0.36   0.716     -2.08942    3.041942
     fes1_84 |    .209553   1.304043     0.16   0.872    -2.346325    2.765431
     fes1_86 |  -1.868527   1.324672    -1.41   0.158    -4.464836    .7277831
     fes1_87 |  -.9784049    1.33006    -0.74   0.462    -3.585275    1.628465
     fes1_88 |  -.0415571    1.34973    -0.03   0.975    -2.686979    2.603865
     fes1_89 |  -.7063026   1.384854    -0.51   0.610    -3.420567    2.007962
     fes1_90 |  -.6793515   1.371687    -0.50   0.620    -3.367809    2.009106
     fes1_97 |   -3.28517   2.715166    -1.21   0.226    -8.606797    2.036457
    fes1_102 |   .3767862    1.26462     0.30   0.766    -2.101823    2.855396
    fes1_105 |  -3.749004   1.343243    -2.79   0.005    -6.381713   -1.116296
    fes1_106 |   .2003449   1.289551     0.16   0.877     -2.32713    2.727819
    fes1_109 |   -4.71743   1.303467    -3.62   0.000    -7.272179   -2.162682
    fes1_131 |  -5.331911   1.614589    -3.30   0.001    -8.496448   -2.167374
    fes1_133 |  -4.003839   1.442442    -2.78   0.006    -6.830974   -1.176705
      fes2_1 |  -2.784601    1.05758    -2.63   0.008     -4.85742   -.7117829
      fes2_2 |  -3.370293   1.227751    -2.75   0.006    -5.776641   -.9639451
      fes2_6 |  -1.951389   1.060566    -1.84   0.066    -4.030061    .1272825
      fes2_7 |  -2.018583   1.063138    -1.90   0.058    -4.102295    .0651296
      fes2_8 |  -1.435104   .9951006    -1.44   0.149    -3.385465    .5152578
     fes2_15 |   1.143014   .8216542     1.39   0.164    -.4673982    2.753427
     fes2_21 |  -.3781633   1.030321    -0.37   0.714    -2.397555    1.641228
     fes2_23 |  -.5495195   .9048248    -0.61   0.544    -2.322943    1.223905
     fes2_24 |   .1690177    .929871     0.18   0.856    -1.653496    1.991531
     fes2_25 |  -1.670464   1.081901    -1.54   0.123    -3.790951    .4500221
     fes2_26 |  -1.008885    .864443    -1.17   0.243    -2.703163    .6853918
     fes2_28 |  -1.860292    .967209    -1.92   0.054    -3.755987    .0354025
     fes2_29 |  -2.397265   .9807173    -2.44   0.015    -4.319435   -.4750941
     fes2_30 |   .1283726   1.181983     0.11   0.914    -2.188272    2.445017
     fes2_32 |  -1.454357   .9792779    -1.49   0.138    -3.373707    .4649922
     fes2_34 |   -1.03037   .9816863    -1.05   0.294     -2.95444    .8936999
     fes2_35 |  -1.386676   .8707011    -1.59   0.111    -3.093218    .3198674
     fes2_36 |  -.3534611   .7963687    -0.44   0.657    -1.914315    1.207393
     fes2_37 |  -1.572114   .8600478    -1.83   0.068    -3.257777    .1135488
     fes2_38 |  -1.603062   .8580697    -1.87   0.062    -3.284847    .0787239
     fes2_39 |  -1.568584   .8570327    -1.83   0.067    -3.248337    .1111695
     fes2_40 |  -1.576648   .8613398    -1.83   0.067    -3.264843    .1115471
     fes2_42 |  -2.050046   .8229326    -2.49   0.013    -3.662964   -.4371276
     fes2_43 |  -1.631247   .8281568    -1.97   0.049    -3.254404   -.0080894
     fes2_44 |  -2.251876   .8585521    -2.62   0.009    -3.934607   -.5691449
     fes2_45 |   -1.52331   .8604837    -1.77   0.077    -3.209827    .1632074
     fes2_46 |  -1.810913   .8084351    -2.24   0.025    -3.395416   -.2264092
     fes2_47 |  -1.995606    .870768    -2.29   0.022     -3.70228   -.2889323
     fes2_48 |  -1.079904   .7809504    -1.38   0.167    -2.610539    .4507307
     fes2_49 |  -5.412696   1.389716    -3.89   0.000    -8.136489   -2.688903
     fes2_50 |  -.0416774   .8867506    -0.05   0.963    -1.779677    1.696322
     fes2_52 |  -1.490061   .8500993    -1.75   0.080    -3.156225    .1761027
     fes2_53 |  -2.325116   .8200689    -2.84   0.005    -3.932422   -.7178108
     fes2_55 |  -2.173792   .9442174    -2.30   0.021    -4.024424     -.32316
     fes2_56 |  -2.278335   .8629323    -2.64   0.008    -3.969651   -.5870191
     fes2_57 |  -1.974786   .8264667    -2.39   0.017    -3.594631   -.3549405
     fes2_59 |   -1.78728    .812172    -2.20   0.028    -3.379108   -.1954522
     fes2_60 |  -1.500419   .8990985    -1.67   0.095     -3.26262    .2617816
     fes2_61 |  -1.781365    .891795    -2.00   0.046    -3.529252   -.0334793
     fes2_62 |  -2.156095   .9351375    -2.31   0.021    -3.988931   -.3232595
     fes2_63 |  -1.223476   .8608512    -1.42   0.155    -2.910713    .4637617
     fes2_64 |  -.2621888   .8142454    -0.32   0.747    -1.858081    1.333703
     fes2_68 |  -.8350706   .8281562    -1.01   0.313    -2.458227    .7880858
     fes2_69 |  -.9308527   .8222772    -1.13   0.258    -2.542486    .6807809
     fes2_70 |   -.996803    .829795    -1.20   0.230    -2.623171    .6295653
     fes2_71 |  -1.171936   .8235339    -1.42   0.155    -2.786033    .4421603
     fes2_72 |  -.8699558   .8266211    -1.05   0.293    -2.490103    .7501917
     fes2_74 |  -1.125159   .8235359    -1.37   0.172     -2.73926    .4889415
     fes2_78 |  -.8602987   .8227313    -1.05   0.296    -2.472822    .7522251
     fes2_79 |  -1.008419   .8365814    -1.21   0.228    -2.648088     .631251
     fes2_81 |  -.8735731   .8388668    -1.04   0.298    -2.517722    .7705756
     fes2_82 |  -1.032625   .8410345    -1.23   0.220    -2.681022    .6157728
     fes2_83 |  -1.324275   .8323964    -1.59   0.112    -2.955742    .3071923
     fes2_84 |  -.6929014   .8433627    -0.82   0.411    -2.345862     .960059
     fes2_86 |  -1.816871   .8550221    -2.12   0.034    -3.492684   -.1410589
     fes2_87 |  -1.710216   .8626211    -1.98   0.047    -3.400923   -.0195102
     fes2_88 |  -1.562518   .8807768    -1.77   0.076    -3.288809    .1637723
     fes2_89 |  -2.262485   .9290501    -2.44   0.015     -4.08339   -.4415805
     fes2_90 |  -2.185751   .9223092    -2.37   0.018    -3.993444    -.378058
     fes2_95 |  -3.998592   1.372279    -2.91   0.004    -6.688209   -1.308975
    fes2_102 |   1.965175    .820108     2.40   0.017     .3577933    3.572557
    fes2_105 |   -2.34673   .8696018    -2.70   0.007    -4.051118   -.6423418
    fes2_106 |  -1.986198   .8224701    -2.41   0.016     -3.59821   -.3741861
    fes2_109 |  -1.856025   .8360913    -2.22   0.026    -3.494734   -.2173166
    fes2_131 |  -2.369542    1.37984    -1.72   0.086    -5.073979    .3348949
    fes2_133 |  -1.724153    2.14933    -0.80   0.422    -5.936763    2.488457
       _cons |    897.486   59.09207    15.19   0.000     781.6676    1013.304
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 98 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 
> round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 1379 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 1415 obs not used

note: fes1_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_15 dropped and 751 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 228 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 208 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 1449 obs not used

note: fes1_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_21 dropped and 334 obs not used

note: fes1_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_23 dropped and 1162 obs not used

note: fes1_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_24 dropped and 341 obs not used

note: fes1_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_29 dropped and 2175 obs not used

note: fes1_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_30 dropped and 329 obs not used

note: fes1_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_32 dropped and 1890 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 2009 obs not used

note: fes1_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_49 dropped and 651 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 1402 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 70 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 1679 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 1925 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 2115 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 1563 obs not used

note: fes1_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_88 dropped and 704 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 152 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 861 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 1641 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 1732 obs not used

note: fes1_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_97 dropped and 2542 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 65 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 158 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 226 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 632 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 385 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 1387 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 74 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 1813 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 2727 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 2493 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 2448 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 1606 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 1739 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 2296 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 1105 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 2189 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 1697 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 1216 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 2167 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 83 obs not used

note: fes2_3 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_3 dropped and 1179 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 1073 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 1066 obs not used

note: fes2_9 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_9 dropped and 31 obs not used

note: fes2_11 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_11 dropped and 23 obs not used

note: fes2_12 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_12 dropped and 26 obs not used

note: fes2_13 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_13 dropped and 167 obs not used

note: fes2_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_15 dropped and 395 obs not used

note: fes2_16 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_16 dropped and 384 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 115 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 108 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 1011 obs not used

note: fes2_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_21 dropped and 169 obs not used

note: fes2_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_23 dropped and 639 obs not used

note: fes2_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_24 dropped and 172 obs not used

note: fes2_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_30 dropped and 172 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 1132 obs not used

note: fes2_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_54 dropped and 1234 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 910 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 41 obs not used

note: fes2_75 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_75 dropped and 17 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 1079 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 1304 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 1346 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 987 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 79 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 507 obs not used

note: fes2_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_95 dropped and 1023 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 1056 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 1454 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 99 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 144 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 29 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 338 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 191 obs not used

note: fes2_107 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_107 dropped and 7 obs not used

note: fes2_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_108 dropped and 6 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 968 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 37 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 1118 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 1558 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 1534 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 1439 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 901 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 1110 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 1406 obs not used

note: fes2_124 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_124 dropped and 306 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 595 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 1244 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 939 obs not used

note: fes2_128 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_128 dropped and 32 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 703 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 1324 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 39 obs not used

note: fes1_1 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_83 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -4481.7165
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -3250.8676
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -2695.9394
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -2454.6674
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -2373.9818
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -2357.3289
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -2355.3786
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood =  -2355.079
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -2355.0239
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -2355.0209
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -2355.0209

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      57041
                                                  Wald chi2(131)  =    3878.61
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -2355.0209                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4745

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |    .166937   .1849543     0.90   0.367    -.1955668    .5294408
    distance |  -.6222283   .0580455   -10.72   0.000    -.7359954   -.5084611
     demp981 |   .1773743   .0160204    11.07   0.000     .1459748    .2087737
        tr95 |   76.41611   20.68044     3.70   0.000      35.8832     116.949
          g1 |  -.4041148    .297683    -1.36   0.175    -.9875626    .1793331
         gc1 |    .195897   .0202853     9.66   0.000     .1561386    .2356554
     growth1 |  -.0127537   .0111756    -1.14   0.254    -.0346575      .00915
      pdsrfc |  -28.52877   3.179992    -8.97   0.000    -34.76144    -22.2961
     pdsrfc2 |  -362.2243   77.84832    -4.65   0.000    -514.8042   -209.6444
       tp2r1 |   3.568265   .2785785    12.81   0.000     3.022261    4.114269
        year |   -.147603    .020797    -7.10   0.000    -.1883644   -.1068416
    dtgattl1 |    .228581   .0199861    11.44   0.000      .189409     .267753
      round2 |    1.75522   .1861825     9.43   0.000     1.390309    2.120131
       bad14 |   1.169417   .1571861     7.44   0.000     .8613376    1.477496
        f123 |  -.7748035   1.327518    -0.58   0.559    -3.376691    1.827084
        f_14 |   .5660262   .1565214     3.62   0.000     .2592499    .8728025
     fmrcolb |   1.605091   .1968838     8.15   0.000     1.219206    1.990976
     postcom |    6.17605   .7727154     7.99   0.000     4.661555    7.690544
      spldy1 |   .0795155    .010032     7.93   0.000     .0598531    .0991779
      spldy2 |  -.1110802   .0107999   -10.29   0.000    -.1322477   -.0899127
      spldy3 |   .0926983   .0077553    11.95   0.000     .0774983    .1078984
      spldy4 |  -.0573508   .0052353   -10.95   0.000    -.0676117   -.0470898
      spldy5 |    .028532   .0032967     8.65   0.000     .0220705    .0349935
      spldy6 |  -.0069182   .0011965    -5.78   0.000    -.0092634   -.0045731
      fes1_2 |  -4.124616   2.290143    -1.80   0.072    -8.613213    .3639805
      fes1_6 |   5.031634   1.478822     3.40   0.001     2.133195    7.930072
      fes1_7 |   5.201809   1.494696     3.48   0.001     2.272259    8.131358
     fes1_25 |   7.467492   1.547089     4.83   0.000     4.435253    10.49973
     fes1_28 |   6.638012   1.502903     4.42   0.000     3.692376    9.583648
     fes1_34 |   6.243183   1.564435     3.99   0.000     3.176946     9.30942
     fes1_35 |   3.726471   1.339988     2.78   0.005     1.100142      6.3528
     fes1_36 |    5.76854   1.396103     4.13   0.000      3.03223    8.504851
     fes1_37 |    4.22835   1.415277     2.99   0.003     1.454458    7.002241
     fes1_38 |   4.090738   1.416183     2.89   0.004     1.315071    6.866405
     fes1_39 |   3.018956   1.467717     2.06   0.040     .1422838    5.895628
     fes1_40 |   4.355344   1.335115     3.26   0.001     1.738568     6.97212
     fes1_42 |   -2.06874   1.545443    -1.34   0.181    -5.097752    .9602716
     fes1_43 |   6.384884   1.410176     4.53   0.000      3.62099    9.148778
     fes1_44 |   6.617068    1.41995     4.66   0.000     3.834016    9.400119
     fes1_45 |   5.432456   1.303325     4.17   0.000     2.877987    7.986926
     fes1_46 |   2.058313   1.653988     1.24   0.213    -1.183443    5.300069
     fes1_47 |     2.2208   1.416007     1.57   0.117    -.5545221    4.996122
     fes1_48 |   5.115896   1.600554     3.20   0.001     1.978867    8.252925
     fes1_52 |   5.454005   1.345068     4.05   0.000      2.81772     8.09029
     fes1_56 |    5.25549   1.398789     3.76   0.000     2.513913    7.997066
     fes1_57 |   4.632918    1.41425     3.28   0.001     1.861039    7.404798
     fes1_59 |   4.154584   1.628984     2.55   0.011     .9618338    7.347334
     fes1_60 |   2.867039    1.43057     2.00   0.045     .0631736    5.670905
     fes1_61 |   1.838069    1.43806     1.28   0.201    -.9804766    4.656614
     fes1_62 |   2.080185    1.44264     1.44   0.149     -.747337    4.907706
     fes1_63 |   2.606838    1.43031     1.82   0.068    -.1965174    5.410193
     fes1_64 |    4.10792   1.439709     2.85   0.004     1.286141    6.929699
     fes1_68 |   7.708459   1.491375     5.17   0.000     4.785418     10.6315
     fes1_69 |   7.563763    1.51731     4.98   0.000     4.589889    10.53764
     fes1_70 |   8.790855   1.464369     6.00   0.000     5.920745    11.66097
     fes1_71 |   9.210135   1.464401     6.29   0.000     6.339962    12.08031
     fes1_72 |   9.246184   1.469397     6.29   0.000     6.366219    12.12615
     fes1_74 |   8.843325     1.4437     6.13   0.000     6.013726    11.67292
     fes1_78 |   9.260337   1.460037     6.34   0.000     6.398717    12.12196
     fes1_79 |   8.963736   1.466359     6.11   0.000     6.089725    11.83775
     fes1_81 |   8.739477   1.465075     5.97   0.000     5.867983    11.61097
     fes1_82 |   9.062078   1.478169     6.13   0.000     6.164921    11.95924
     fes1_83 |   9.263839   1.478398     6.27   0.000     6.366232    12.16145
     fes1_84 |   8.961056   1.454136     6.16   0.000     6.111001    11.81111
     fes1_86 |   8.290646     1.5397     5.38   0.000      5.27289     11.3084
     fes1_87 |   8.215158   1.450908     5.66   0.000      5.37143    11.05889
     fes1_89 |   7.784913   1.596479     4.88   0.000     4.655871    10.91395
     fes1_90 |   7.911283   1.598267     4.95   0.000     4.778738    11.04383
    fes1_102 |   8.547519    1.42472     6.00   0.000     5.755118    11.33992
    fes1_105 |   6.205934   1.410698     4.40   0.000     3.441018    8.970851
    fes1_106 |    9.22528   1.456963     6.33   0.000     6.369685    12.08088
    fes1_109 |   3.761365   1.352446     2.78   0.005      1.11062    6.412109
    fes1_131 |   2.422675   1.465989     1.65   0.098      -.45061    5.295959
    fes1_133 |   4.377718   1.550097     2.82   0.005     1.339584    7.415853
      fes2_1 |  -4.055744   2.177731    -1.86   0.063    -8.324018    .2125299
      fes2_2 |  -6.614916   2.119282    -3.12   0.002    -10.76863   -2.461199
      fes2_6 |  -1.032635   .6545083    -1.58   0.115    -2.315447    .2501782
      fes2_7 |  -1.024932   .6669198    -1.54   0.124     -2.33207    .2822073
      fes2_8 |   .3449034   .6191277     0.56   0.577    -.8685646    1.558371
     fes2_25 |  -.0322132    .774955    -0.04   0.967    -1.551097    1.486671
     fes2_26 |   .6451618   .5376507     1.20   0.230    -.4086142    1.698938
     fes2_28 |  -.8830322   1.118539    -0.79   0.430    -3.075329    1.309265
     fes2_29 |  -1.380706   .7662609    -1.80   0.072     -2.88255    .1211376
     fes2_32 |  -.4510403   .7115235    -0.63   0.526    -1.845601    .9435202
     fes2_34 |  -.5893911   .9547871    -0.62   0.537    -2.460739    1.281957
     fes2_35 |  -.2685718   .3642019    -0.74   0.461    -.9823944    .4452507
     fes2_36 |   .9827419   .3201141     3.07   0.002     .3553298    1.610154
     fes2_37 |  -.2981258   .3361092    -0.89   0.375    -.9568877    .3606361
     fes2_38 |  -.3578336   .3393735    -1.05   0.292    -1.022993    .3073262
     fes2_39 |  -.2608281   .3368216    -0.77   0.439    -.9209863    .3993301
     fes2_40 |  -.5647791   .3258654    -1.73   0.083    -1.203463    .0739053
     fes2_42 |  -1.141272   .4369762    -2.61   0.009    -1.997729   -.2848139
     fes2_43 |  -.3649626   .3063067    -1.19   0.233    -.9653127    .2353875
     fes2_44 |  -1.370021   .4370712    -3.13   0.002    -2.226664   -.5133768
     fes2_45 |   .0386119    .341506     0.11   0.910    -.6307275    .7079513
     fes2_46 |  -3.949432   .8424813    -4.69   0.000    -5.600665   -2.298199
     fes2_47 |  -.6082974   .3522588    -1.73   0.084    -1.298712    .0821171
     fes2_48 |  -1.264947   .6749975    -1.87   0.061    -2.587918    .0580232
     fes2_49 |   -9.03475   1.924964    -4.69   0.000    -12.80761    -5.26189
     fes2_52 |  -.1476727   .3264058    -0.45   0.651    -.7874163    .4920709
     fes2_53 |  -.5631174    .340406    -1.65   0.098    -1.230301     .104066
     fes2_56 |  -.6774361   .3392329    -2.00   0.046     -1.34232   -.0125519
     fes2_57 |  -.6440584   .3327718    -1.94   0.053    -1.296279    .0081624
     fes2_59 |  -2.759331   .7109443    -3.88   0.000    -4.152756   -1.365905
     fes2_60 |  -.3567184   .4111425    -0.87   0.386    -1.162543    .4491062
     fes2_61 |  -.7657316   .3543069    -2.16   0.031     -1.46016   -.0713029
     fes2_62 |  -1.077749    .438173    -2.46   0.014    -1.936552   -.2189458
     fes2_63 |   .0621523    .335534     0.19   0.853    -.5954823    .7197869
     fes2_64 |   .9111625   .3794065     2.40   0.016     .1675393    1.654786
     fes2_68 |   .2772992   .2908306     0.95   0.340    -.2927182    .8473166
     fes2_69 |   .6536485    .304284     2.15   0.032     .0572627    1.250034
     fes2_70 |   .1869435   .3004238     0.62   0.534    -.4018763    .7757633
     fes2_71 |    .092675   .3041083     0.30   0.761    -.5033663    .6887164
     fes2_72 |   .3356631   .2955196     1.14   0.256    -.2435447    .9148709
     fes2_74 |   .0495959   .2994215     0.17   0.868    -.5372594    .6364511
     fes2_78 |   .5776732    .315154     1.83   0.067    -.0400173    1.195364
     fes2_79 |   .2850998   .3381517     0.84   0.399    -.3776653    .9478649
     fes2_81 |   .3983646   .3089239     1.29   0.197    -.2071152    1.003844
     fes2_82 |   .3692865   .3255942     1.13   0.257    -.2688664    1.007439
     fes2_84 |   .5654901    .316941     1.78   0.074    -.0557029    1.186683
     fes2_86 |   .2241531   .3417736     0.66   0.512    -.4457108    .8940171
     fes2_87 |   -.163903   .4125601    -0.40   0.691     -.972506       .6447
     fes2_88 |   .3025268   .3988435     0.76   0.448    -.4791921    1.084246
     fes2_89 |  -.4302507   .5181958    -0.83   0.406    -1.445896    .5853944
     fes2_90 |  -.7442617   .6885222    -1.08   0.280     -2.09374     .605217
    fes2_102 |   3.224126   .3839697     8.40   0.000     2.471559    3.976693
    fes2_105 |  -.6800202    .377089    -1.80   0.071    -1.419101    .0590606
    fes2_106 |  -.5122768   .4628509    -1.11   0.268    -1.419448    .3948943
    fes2_109 |  -.3739794   .3366222    -1.11   0.267    -1.033747     .285788
    fes2_131 |   -.672271   .8175238    -0.82   0.411    -2.274588    .9300461
    fes2_133 |   .4840758   .6503097     0.74   0.457    -.7905078    1.758659
       _cons |   278.2605   40.94999     6.80   0.000          198     358.521
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 882 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==
> n, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_2 dropped and 1186 obs not used

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 608 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 648 obs not used

note: fes1_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_15 dropped and 316 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 100 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 107 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 635 obs not used

note: fes1_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_21 dropped and 160 obs not used

note: fes1_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_23 dropped and 507 obs not used

note: fes1_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_24 dropped and 143 obs not used

note: fes1_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_29 dropped and 926 obs not used

note: fes1_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_30 dropped and 141 obs not used

note: fes1_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_32 dropped and 809 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 869 obs not used

note: fes1_34 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_34 dropped and 869 obs not used

note: fes1_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_49 dropped and 285 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 659 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 31 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 815 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 864 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 920 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 728 obs not used

note: fes1_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_88 dropped and 339 obs not used

note: fes1_90 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_90 dropped and 482 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 71 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 423 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 730 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 816 obs not used

note: fes1_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_97 dropped and 1073 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 34 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 76 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 129 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 19 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 305 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 174 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 641 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 28 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 817 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 1185 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 1097 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 1053 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 742 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 788 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 995 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 509 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 987 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 736 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 531 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 918 obs not used

note: fes1_133 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_133 dropped and 1045 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 39 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 397 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 402 obs not used

note: fes2_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_15 dropped and 193 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 63 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 410 obs not used

note: fes2_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_21 dropped and 69 obs not used

note: fes2_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_23 dropped and 289 obs not used

note: fes2_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_24 dropped and 84 obs not used

note: fes2_28 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_28 dropped and 540 obs not used

note: fes2_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_29 dropped and 595 obs not used

note: fes2_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_30 dropped and 85 obs not used

note: fes2_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_32 dropped and 522 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 526 obs not used

note: fes2_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_49 dropped and 160 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 395 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 21 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 501 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 508 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 455 obs not used

note: fes2_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_88 dropped and 167 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 38 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 218 obs not used

note: fes2_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_95 dropped and 469 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 457 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 668 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 18 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 51 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 58 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 14 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 142 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 84 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 369 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 19 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 466 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 672 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 628 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 631 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 396 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 465 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 569 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 271 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 549 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 441 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 314 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 569 obs not used

note: fes2_131 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_131 dropped and 636 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 15 obs not used

note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_83 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_83 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -1901.7127
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1343.5143
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1094.9843
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -982.4304
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -943.46755
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -936.08939
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -935.28122
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -935.17244
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood =  -935.1667
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -935.16667

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      19779
                                                  Wald chi2(121)  =    1233.19
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -935.16667                 Pseudo R2       =     0.5083

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .3018911   .2322839     1.30   0.194    -.1533771    .7571592
    distance |  -.6935719   .0798716    -8.68   0.000    -.8501175   -.5370264
     demp981 |   .2245128   .0246324     9.11   0.000     .1762342    .2727914
     demp982 |   .2190887   .0259228     8.45   0.000      .168281    .2698963
        tr95 |   94.31351   17.67439     5.34   0.000     59.67234    128.9547
          g1 |  -.1596209   .5924339    -0.27   0.788     -1.32077    1.001528
          g2 |  -.3172312   .4796215    -0.66   0.508    -1.257272    .6228097
         gc1 |   .2294401   .0447414     5.13   0.000     .1417485    .3171317
         gc2 |   .2991195   .0391107     7.65   0.000     .2224639    .3757752
     growth1 |  -.0266459    .016814    -1.58   0.113    -.0596007    .0063089
     growth2 |  -.0359673   .0171111    -2.10   0.036    -.0695045   -.0024302
      pdsrfc |  -36.72767   4.234579    -8.67   0.000    -45.02729   -28.42804
     pdsrfc2 |  -143.9361   75.93103    -1.90   0.058    -292.7582    4.885981
       tp2r1 |   3.038786    .416155     7.30   0.000     2.223138    3.854435
       tp2r2 |   3.353105   .3879138     8.64   0.000     2.592808    4.113402
        year |  -.7073824   .0580004   -12.20   0.000     -.821061   -.5937038
      gattl1 |   .2416235   .0301787     8.01   0.000     .1824744    .3007726
      round2 |   1.820938   .2153646     8.46   0.000     1.398832    2.243045
       bad14 |   1.286282   .1944004     6.62   0.000      .905264    1.667299
        f123 |   -.928547   2.179828    -0.43   0.670    -5.200931    3.343837
        f_14 |   .4159554   .1918043     2.17   0.030     .0400259    .7918848
      spldy1 |   .0758742   .0116446     6.52   0.000     .0530511    .0986972
      spldy2 |  -.1018703    .012601    -8.08   0.000    -.1265678   -.0771727
      spldy3 |   .0849489   .0090201     9.42   0.000     .0672699    .1026279
      spldy4 |  -.0562233   .0059768    -9.41   0.000    -.0679376    -.044509
      spldy5 |   .0314638   .0037388     8.42   0.000     .0241358    .0387918
      spldy6 |  -.0090565   .0013147    -6.89   0.000    -.0116332   -.0064798
      fes1_1 |  -14.31284   4.011129    -3.57   0.000    -22.17451   -6.451169
      fes1_6 |   -4.80337   .8852065    -5.43   0.000    -6.538343   -3.068397
      fes1_7 |  -4.286133   1.117353    -3.84   0.000    -6.476104   -2.096161
     fes1_25 |  -1.735757     1.1783    -1.47   0.141    -4.045183    .5736678
     fes1_28 |  -2.773852   .8161945    -3.40   0.001    -4.373564    -1.17414
     fes1_35 |  -6.978039   .8435349    -8.27   0.000    -8.631337   -5.324741
     fes1_36 |  -4.637857   .7303285    -6.35   0.000    -6.069275    -3.20644
     fes1_37 |  -7.288137   .9120208    -7.99   0.000    -9.075665   -5.500609
     fes1_38 |  -7.353001   .9588305    -7.67   0.000    -9.232275   -5.473728
     fes1_39 |   -8.38219   1.120352    -7.48   0.000    -10.57804   -6.186341
     fes1_40 |  -6.464906   .9250021    -6.99   0.000    -8.277877   -4.651935
     fes1_42 |  -14.36252   1.794771    -8.00   0.000     -17.8802   -10.84483
     fes1_43 |  -3.938573    .621884    -6.33   0.000    -5.157444   -2.719703
     fes1_44 |  -3.434867   .5273432    -6.51   0.000    -4.468441   -2.401293
     fes1_45 |  -5.389716   .7592332    -7.10   0.000    -6.877785   -3.901646
     fes1_46 |  -2.067864   .6833377    -3.03   0.002    -3.407181   -.7285468
     fes1_47 |  -8.855364    1.06698    -8.30   0.000    -10.94661   -6.764123
     fes1_48 |  -1.206659   .5591451    -2.16   0.031    -2.302563   -.1107548
     fes1_52 |  -5.734415   .7132494    -8.04   0.000    -7.132358   -4.336472
     fes1_56 |  -4.991153   .6972072    -7.16   0.000    -6.357654   -3.624652
     fes1_57 |   -5.41774    .690222    -7.85   0.000     -6.77055    -4.06493
     fes1_59 |  -.8839105   .5893542    -1.50   0.134    -2.039023    .2712024
     fes1_60 |  -8.139047   1.082996    -7.52   0.000    -10.26168   -6.016415
     fes1_61 |  -8.645409   1.145677    -7.55   0.000    -10.89089   -6.399924
     fes1_62 |  -8.739508   1.203819    -7.26   0.000    -11.09895   -6.380066
     fes1_63 |  -8.226979   1.188435    -6.92   0.000    -10.55627    -5.89769
     fes1_64 |  -5.891712   1.092436    -5.39   0.000    -8.032847   -3.750577
     fes1_68 |  -2.303811   .7767943    -2.97   0.003    -3.826299   -.7813217
     fes1_69 |  -2.512289   1.079959    -2.33   0.020     -4.62897   -.3956081
     fes1_70 |  -.5997393   .4964873    -1.21   0.227    -1.572836    .3733579
     fes1_71 |   .2993721   .4270832     0.70   0.483    -.5376956     1.13644
     fes1_72 |   .4004886   .3952217     1.01   0.311    -.3741317    1.175109
     fes1_74 |  -.8992948   .5168042    -1.74   0.082    -1.912212    .1136228
     fes1_78 |   .1157446   .3999866     0.29   0.772    -.6682148     .899704
     fes1_79 |  -.3429193    .464191    -0.74   0.460    -1.252717    .5668783
     fes1_81 |  -.4808513   .4787363    -1.00   0.315    -1.419157    .4574546
     fes1_82 |  -1.030878   .7581002    -1.36   0.174    -2.516727    .4549709
     fes1_84 |  -.1231605   .4881733    -0.25   0.801    -1.079963    .8336416
     fes1_86 |  -1.841924     1.2133    -1.52   0.129    -4.219949       .5361
     fes1_87 |  -.8710869   .6487807    -1.34   0.179    -2.142674    .4004999
     fes1_89 |  -1.475377   .9424765    -1.57   0.117    -3.322597    .3718427
    fes1_102 |  -.7472106   .6935946    -1.08   0.281    -2.106631    .6122099
    fes1_105 |  -4.434756   .7529446    -5.89   0.000      -5.9105   -2.959011
    fes1_106 |  -.4443305   .6314122    -0.70   0.482    -1.681876    .7932148
    fes1_109 |   -6.48784   .8117453    -7.99   0.000    -8.078831   -4.896848
    fes1_131 |  -7.281393   1.123089    -6.48   0.000    -9.482608   -5.080178
      fes2_1 |  -12.17346   2.459239    -4.95   0.000    -16.99348   -7.353436
      fes2_2 |  -13.72379   1.541458    -8.90   0.000      -16.745   -10.70259
      fes2_6 |  -4.727175   1.186077    -3.99   0.000    -7.051843   -2.402506
      fes2_7 |   -4.76578     .86876    -5.49   0.000    -6.468518   -3.063042
     fes2_25 |  -2.528125   1.032169    -2.45   0.014    -4.551139   -.5051106
     fes2_34 |  -4.686685   .9874684    -4.75   0.000    -6.622088   -2.751283
     fes2_35 |  -7.349151   .7967046    -9.22   0.000    -8.910663   -5.787638
     fes2_36 |  -5.142635   .7537273    -6.82   0.000    -6.619913   -3.665357
     fes2_37 |  -8.052689   .8969176    -8.98   0.000    -9.810616   -6.294763
     fes2_38 |  -8.280111   .8764792    -9.45   0.000    -9.997979   -6.562244
     fes2_39 |  -10.00669   1.158762    -8.64   0.000    -12.27782   -7.735557
     fes2_40 |   -7.56235   .8312833    -9.10   0.000    -9.191635   -5.933064
     fes2_42 |  -15.68079   1.689413    -9.28   0.000    -18.99198    -12.3696
     fes2_43 |  -4.192928   .5775846    -7.26   0.000    -5.324973   -3.060883
     fes2_44 |  -3.951761   .5587094    -7.07   0.000    -5.046812   -2.856711
     fes2_45 |  -7.065555   .8320636    -8.49   0.000    -8.696369    -5.43474
     fes2_46 |  -2.606715   .6320276    -4.12   0.000    -3.845467   -1.367964
     fes2_47 |   -9.78151   .9751901   -10.03   0.000    -11.69285   -7.870173
     fes2_48 |  -2.054116   .5280816    -3.89   0.000    -3.089137   -1.019095
     fes2_52 |  -6.656678   .7341439    -9.07   0.000    -8.095573   -5.217782
     fes2_56 |   -5.57192   .7054857    -7.90   0.000    -6.954647   -4.189193
     fes2_57 |  -5.711402   .7507278    -7.61   0.000    -7.182802   -4.240003
     fes2_59 |  -.4722065   .6017579    -0.78   0.433     -1.65163    .7072174
     fes2_60 |  -9.516132   .9985409    -9.53   0.000    -11.47324   -7.559028
     fes2_61 |  -10.80623   1.074892   -10.05   0.000    -12.91298   -8.699484
     fes2_62 |  -10.33649   1.071523    -9.65   0.000    -12.43664   -8.236348
     fes2_63 |  -10.16828   1.068743    -9.51   0.000    -12.26298   -8.073581
     fes2_64 |  -8.754448   1.088337    -8.04   0.000    -10.88755   -6.621346
     fes2_68 |  -1.381274   .5971699    -2.31   0.021    -2.551705   -.2108422
     fes2_69 |  -1.814358   .7890311    -2.30   0.021    -3.360831   -.2678857
     fes2_70 |   -.311083   .3878321    -0.80   0.422     -1.07122    .4490541
     fes2_71 |  -.3925982   .5308737    -0.74   0.460    -1.433092     .647895
     fes2_72 |   .2140321   .4388665     0.49   0.626    -.6461304    1.074195
     fes2_74 |   -.298833   .4397286    -0.68   0.497    -1.160685    .5630191
     fes2_78 |   -.897995   .5014942    -1.79   0.073    -1.880906    .0849157
     fes2_79 |  -.7646073   .4622331    -1.65   0.098    -1.670567    .1413529
     fes2_81 |  -.9420628    .457735    -2.06   0.040    -1.839207   -.0449187
     fes2_82 |   .0178173   .3855273     0.05   0.963    -.7378024     .773437
     fes2_84 |  -.4160127   .4003386    -1.04   0.299    -1.200662    .3686365
     fes2_86 |  -.8016995   .6594383    -1.22   0.224    -2.094175    .4907758
     fes2_87 |  -1.447175   .8432011    -1.72   0.086    -3.099819    .2054683
     fes2_89 |  -1.273961    .709893    -1.79   0.073    -2.665326    .1174038
     fes2_90 |  -.6555005   .5750706    -1.14   0.254    -1.782618    .4716171
    fes2_102 |   -.778869   .6849689    -1.14   0.256    -2.121383    .5636453
    fes2_105 |  -5.074382   .8037636    -6.31   0.000     -6.64973   -3.499034
    fes2_106 |  -1.032962   .6910721    -1.49   0.135    -2.387438    .3215148
    fes2_109 |  -7.266981    .793146    -9.16   0.000    -8.821518   -5.712443
    fes2_133 |   -5.99542   1.000229    -5.99   0.000    -7.955833   -4.035007
       _cons |   1376.291   112.3733    12.25   0.000     1156.044    1596.539
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 172 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 rou
> nd2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_2 dropped and 1664 obs not used

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 1410 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 1522 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 384 obs not used

note: fes1_18 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_18 dropped and 245 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 380 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 1497 obs not used

note: fes1_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_23 dropped and 789 obs not used

note: fes1_31 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_31 dropped and 269 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 1241 obs not used

note: fes1_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_49 dropped and 1102 obs not used

note: fes1_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_54 dropped and 999 obs not used

note: fes1_55 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_55 dropped and 266 obs not used

note: fes1_65 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_65 dropped and 266 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 1343 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 295 obs not used

note: fes1_73 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_73 dropped and 249 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 1458 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 1317 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 1405 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 978 obs not used

note: fes1_91 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_91 dropped and 251 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 351 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 805 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 1511 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 1384 obs not used

note: fes1_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_97 dropped and 1552 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 354 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 513 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 585 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 303 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 583 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 437 obs not used

note: fes1_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_108 dropped and 14 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 1394 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 302 obs not used

note: fes1_112 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_112 dropped and 262 obs not used

note: fes1_113 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_113 dropped and 261 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 1261 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 1590 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 1615 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 1585 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 1167 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 1670 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 1626 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 787 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 1547 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 1073 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 847 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 1465 obs not used

note: fes1_132 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_132 dropped and 254 obs not used

note: fes1_133 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_133 dropped and 1621 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 303 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 890 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 943 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 217 obs not used

note: fes2_18 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_18 dropped and 138 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 219 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 1007 obs not used

note: fes2_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_21 dropped and 230 obs not used

note: fes2_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_30 dropped and 225 obs not used

note: fes2_31 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_31 dropped and 136 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 753 obs not used

note: fes2_50 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_50 dropped and 90 obs not used

note: fes2_51 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_51 dropped and 77 obs not used

note: fes2_54 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_54 dropped and 678 obs not used

note: fes2_65 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_65 dropped and 150 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 843 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 171 obs not used

note: fes2_73 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_73 dropped and 140 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 913 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 793 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 902 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 638 obs not used

note: fes2_91 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_91 dropped and 148 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 196 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 426 obs not used

note: fes2_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_95 dropped and 959 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 836 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 1008 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 196 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 314 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 324 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 164 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 299 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 250 obs not used

note: fes2_108 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_108 dropped and 8 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 838 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 162 obs not used

note: fes2_112 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_112 dropped and 145 obs not used

note: fes2_113 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_113 dropped and 145 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 773 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 956 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 991 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 1011 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 644 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 1000 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 1021 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 443 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 944 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 710 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 506 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 968 obs not used

note: fes2_131 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_131 dropped and 1032 obs not used

note: fes2_132 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_132 dropped and 149 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 174 obs not used

note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2568.7926
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1922.3662
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1633.2005
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =   -1508.41
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1470.8853
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1465.5684
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1465.3888
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1465.3883

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      39601
                                                  Wald chi2(137)  =    1789.20
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1465.3883                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4295

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.8208272    .057974   -14.16   0.000    -.9344541   -.7072004
     demp981 |   .1418764   .0188274     7.54   0.000     .1049753    .1787775
     demp982 |   .1460568   .0214428     6.81   0.000     .1040296    .1880839
          g1 |   .3881418   .2409946     1.61   0.107    -.0841988    .8604825
          g2 |   .2000697   .2842533     0.70   0.482    -.3570566     .757196
         gc1 |   .1502762   .0219478     6.85   0.000     .1072592    .1932931
         gc2 |   .2230529   .0248867     8.96   0.000     .1742759    .2718299
      pdsrfc |  -22.69449   2.851677    -7.96   0.000    -28.28367    -17.1053
     pdsrfc2 |  -463.4609    61.7322    -7.51   0.000    -584.4538    -342.468
       tp2r1 |   2.344349   .3238127     7.24   0.000     1.709688     2.97901
       tp2r2 |    2.58805   .3139378     8.24   0.000     1.972744    3.203357
        year |  -.5055472   .0335757   -15.06   0.000    -.5713543   -.4397401
      gattl1 |   .1438789   .0128215    11.22   0.000     .1187492    .1690086
      round2 |   1.881859   .1758365    10.70   0.000     1.537225    2.226492
       bad14 |   .9847859   .1420235     6.93   0.000     .7064249    1.263147
        f123 |  -1.456044    .715892    -2.03   0.042    -2.859167   -.0529214
        f_14 |   .4790123   .1517407     3.16   0.002     .1816059    .7764187
      spldy1 |   .0559538   .0085886     6.51   0.000     .0391204    .0727873
      spldy2 |  -.0871268   .0091039    -9.57   0.000    -.1049701   -.0692834
      spldy3 |   .0793028   .0062949    12.60   0.000     .0669651    .0916406
      spldy4 |  -.0533173    .004111   -12.97   0.000    -.0613748   -.0452598
      spldy5 |   .0291771   .0025181    11.59   0.000     .0242416    .0341125
      spldy6 |  -.0080249   .0008334    -9.63   0.000    -.0096583   -.0063916
      fes1_1 |  -7.765033   2.096738    -3.70   0.000    -11.87456   -3.655502
      fes1_6 |  -2.299119    1.67585    -1.37   0.170    -5.583725    .9854863
      fes1_7 |  -2.174542   1.780907    -1.22   0.222    -5.665057    1.315972
     fes1_15 |   2.067537   1.538241     1.34   0.179    -.9473602    5.082434
     fes1_21 |   .5584692   1.611963     0.35   0.729     -2.60092    3.717859
     fes1_24 |   .5046081   1.630392     0.31   0.757    -2.690901    3.700117
     fes1_25 |  -.4483234   1.830111    -0.24   0.806    -4.035275    3.138628
     fes1_28 |  -1.594344   1.678088    -0.95   0.342    -4.883336    1.694648
     fes1_29 |  -3.093167   1.860529    -1.66   0.096    -6.739736     .553403
     fes1_30 |   1.468875   1.726568     0.85   0.395    -1.915135    4.852886
     fes1_32 |  -2.246182   1.630091    -1.38   0.168    -5.441102    .9487371
     fes1_34 |  -1.890782   1.574717    -1.20   0.230    -4.977171    1.195608
     fes1_35 |  -3.690621   1.572508    -2.35   0.019     -6.77268   -.6085618
     fes1_36 |   -1.57223   1.468562    -1.07   0.284    -4.450558    1.306097
     fes1_37 |  -3.926273   1.562984    -2.51   0.012    -6.989666   -.8628804
     fes1_38 |  -3.736302   1.562037    -2.39   0.017    -6.797839   -.6747662
     fes1_39 |  -4.424487   1.599377    -2.77   0.006    -7.559207   -1.289766
     fes1_40 |  -3.668091   1.578301    -2.32   0.020    -6.761504   -.5746774
     fes1_42 |  -8.657764   1.644649    -5.26   0.000    -11.88122   -5.434311
     fes1_43 |  -1.944663   1.532062    -1.27   0.204     -4.94745    1.058123
     fes1_44 |  -1.558412   1.539256    -1.01   0.311    -4.575297    1.458474
     fes1_45 |  -3.026131   1.568012    -1.93   0.054    -6.099377    .0471157
     fes1_46 |  -.8186944   1.501462    -0.55   0.586    -3.761506    2.124117
     fes1_47 |  -4.786503   1.578911    -3.03   0.002    -7.881112   -1.691893
     fes1_48 |  -.2111922   1.468995    -0.14   0.886    -3.090369    2.667984
     fes1_51 |   .8613057    1.70128     0.51   0.613    -2.473142    4.195753
     fes1_52 |  -2.998087   1.532591    -1.96   0.050    -6.001911    .0057363
     fes1_56 |  -2.749887   1.542434    -1.78   0.075    -5.773003    .2732291
     fes1_57 |  -2.921079   1.499038    -1.95   0.051    -5.859139     .016981
     fes1_59 |   .1283829   1.468051     0.09   0.930    -2.748944     3.00571
     fes1_60 |  -3.703454   1.611395    -2.30   0.022     -6.86173   -.5451786
     fes1_61 |  -4.561693   1.615951    -2.82   0.005    -7.728899   -1.394486
     fes1_62 |  -4.760496   1.656666    -2.87   0.004    -8.007502    -1.51349
     fes1_63 |  -4.197937   1.590812    -2.64   0.008    -7.315871   -1.080003
     fes1_64 |  -2.283689   1.530034    -1.49   0.136    -5.282501    .7151229
     fes1_68 |   -1.24524   1.714443    -0.73   0.468    -4.605487    2.115007
     fes1_69 |   -1.61227    1.76477    -0.91   0.361    -5.071155    1.846616
     fes1_70 |   .7976367   1.552561     0.51   0.607    -2.245327    3.840601
     fes1_71 |   .7576778   1.524038     0.50   0.619    -2.229381    3.744737
     fes1_72 |   1.286858   1.546115     0.83   0.405    -1.743472    4.317188
     fes1_74 |   .5679368   1.542964     0.37   0.713    -2.456217    3.592091
     fes1_78 |   1.373819   1.531491     0.90   0.370    -1.627848    4.375486
     fes1_79 |   .9437717   1.550715     0.61   0.543    -2.095575    3.983118
     fes1_81 |    .732335   1.554974     0.47   0.638    -2.315358    3.780028
     fes1_82 |   .3821457   1.595522     0.24   0.811     -2.74502    3.509311
     fes1_83 |   .9151407   1.554227     0.59   0.556    -2.131087    3.961369
     fes1_84 |   1.071159   1.537579     0.70   0.486     -1.94244    4.084759
     fes1_86 |  -1.210322   1.614605    -0.75   0.453    -4.374889    1.954246
     fes1_87 |   .1718169   1.555037     0.11   0.912       -2.876    3.219634
     fes1_88 |   .2193825   1.651972     0.13   0.894    -3.018423    3.457188
     fes1_89 |   .2641606   1.604087     0.16   0.869    -2.879792    3.408113
     fes1_90 |  -1.187377   1.831266    -0.65   0.517    -4.776592    2.401839
    fes1_102 |   1.721795   1.520278     1.13   0.257    -1.257895    4.701485
    fes1_105 |  -2.558103   1.539839    -1.66   0.097    -5.576133    .4599264
    fes1_106 |   .3600107   1.525334     0.24   0.813    -2.629588    3.349609
    fes1_109 |  -3.676148   1.516577    -2.42   0.015    -6.648585   -.7037119
    fes1_131 |  -3.908767   1.693625    -2.31   0.021     -7.22821   -.5893235
      fes2_1 |  -5.741219   2.360212    -2.43   0.015    -10.36715   -1.115288
      fes2_2 |  -3.136173   1.675615    -1.87   0.061    -6.420319    .1479725
      fes2_6 |   1.049589   1.583184     0.66   0.507    -2.053394    4.152572
      fes2_7 |   .8012792   1.416428     0.57   0.572    -1.974869    3.577427
     fes2_15 |   5.889709   1.190855     4.95   0.000     3.555677    8.223742
     fes2_23 |   3.917583   1.225592     3.20   0.001     1.515468    6.319699
     fes2_24 |   4.045048   1.463402     2.76   0.006     1.176832    6.913264
     fes2_25 |   2.811187   1.546678     1.82   0.069    -.2202458    5.842621
     fes2_28 |   .3894165   1.436263     0.27   0.786    -2.425607     3.20444
     fes2_29 |   1.146075   1.302614     0.88   0.379    -1.407001    3.699151
     fes2_32 |   1.322347   1.434886     0.92   0.357    -1.489978    4.134672
     fes2_34 |   .8676608   1.487437     0.58   0.560    -2.047662    3.782984
     fes2_35 |  -.9017065   1.288333    -0.70   0.484    -3.426793     1.62338
     fes2_36 |   1.197345   1.169161     1.02   0.306    -1.094168    3.488858
     fes2_37 |  -1.334847   1.260285    -1.06   0.290     -3.80496    1.135266
     fes2_38 |  -1.534981   1.258385    -1.22   0.223    -4.001371    .9314088
     fes2_39 |  -2.893252   1.337553    -2.16   0.031    -5.514807   -.2716962
     fes2_40 |  -1.217704   1.290061    -0.94   0.345    -3.746177     1.31077
     fes2_42 |  -6.791122   1.422299    -4.77   0.000    -9.578776   -4.003468
     fes2_43 |   1.222558   1.241842     0.98   0.325    -1.211408    3.656524
     fes2_44 |   1.550532   1.255338     1.24   0.217    -.9098857     4.01095
     fes2_45 |  -1.101351   1.327381    -0.83   0.407    -3.702971    1.500268
     fes2_46 |   2.021486   1.207532     1.67   0.094    -.3452327    4.388206
     fes2_47 |  -2.534295   1.286576    -1.97   0.049    -5.055937   -.0126532
     fes2_48 |   2.882356   1.156323     2.49   0.013     .6160049    5.148707
     fes2_49 |  -.1163683   1.698643    -0.07   0.945    -3.445648    3.212911
     fes2_52 |  -.4584212   1.254086    -0.37   0.715    -2.916385    1.999543
     fes2_56 |   .0706952   1.301775     0.05   0.957    -2.480736    2.622126
     fes2_57 |   .1245758   1.221418     0.10   0.919     -2.26936    2.518512
     fes2_59 |   3.205836   1.339264     2.39   0.017     .5809258    5.830746
     fes2_60 |  -2.207623   1.301147    -1.70   0.090    -4.757824    .3425777
     fes2_61 |  -3.279925    1.32463    -2.48   0.013    -5.876152   -.6836973
     fes2_62 |  -3.009425   1.327322    -2.27   0.023    -5.610928   -.4079209
     fes2_63 |  -2.748968   1.293377    -2.13   0.034     -5.28394   -.2139951
     fes2_64 |  -1.463523    1.25277    -1.17   0.243    -3.918907    .9918602
     fes2_68 |   3.184796   1.322701     2.41   0.016     .5923483    5.777243
     fes2_69 |   3.237823   1.311212     2.47   0.014     .6678944    5.807751
     fes2_70 |   4.468875   1.281243     3.49   0.000     1.957686    6.980065
     fes2_71 |   4.033162    1.28929     3.13   0.002     1.506199    6.560125
     fes2_72 |   4.469547   1.309534     3.41   0.001     1.902907    7.036186
     fes2_74 |   4.550759   1.269508     3.58   0.000     2.062569    7.038949
     fes2_78 |   4.077694   1.305439     3.12   0.002      1.51908    6.636307
     fes2_79 |   4.115676   1.317519     3.12   0.002     1.533386    6.697966
     fes2_81 |   3.811688   1.327819     2.87   0.004     1.209211    6.414165
     fes2_82 |   4.355746   1.274842     3.42   0.001     1.857102     6.85439
     fes2_83 |   4.447676   1.311043     3.39   0.001     1.878079    7.017273
     fes2_84 |   4.119466   1.300079     3.17   0.002     1.571359    6.667573
     fes2_86 |   2.701426   1.273678     2.12   0.034     .2050624    5.197789
     fes2_87 |   2.810429   1.387777     2.03   0.043     .0904357    5.530422
     fes2_88 |   4.618742   1.340807     3.44   0.001     1.990809    7.246675
     fes2_89 |   2.888949   1.459838     1.98   0.048     .0277195    5.750178
     fes2_90 |   3.857269   1.343246     2.87   0.004     1.224555    6.489982
    fes2_102 |   5.260398   1.198775     4.39   0.000     2.910841    7.609954
    fes2_105 |  -.5486398   1.300154    -0.42   0.673    -3.096895    1.999615
    fes2_106 |   3.621229   1.300696     2.78   0.005     1.071912    6.170546
    fes2_109 |  -1.118089   1.224255    -0.91   0.361    -3.517584    1.281406
    fes2_133 |   .7686285   1.395419     0.55   0.582    -1.966343      3.5036
       _cons |   979.1083   65.84383    14.87   0.000     850.0567     1108.16
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 64 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* fes1_* fes2_* if pta
> 2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

note: fes1_2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_2 dropped and 1186 obs not used

note: fes1_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_4 dropped and 608 obs not used

note: fes1_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_5 dropped and 648 obs not used

note: fes1_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_15 dropped and 316 obs not used

note: fes1_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_17 dropped and 100 obs not used

note: fes1_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_19 dropped and 107 obs not used

note: fes1_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_20 dropped and 635 obs not used

note: fes1_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_21 dropped and 160 obs not used

note: fes1_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_23 dropped and 507 obs not used

note: fes1_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_24 dropped and 143 obs not used

note: fes1_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_29 dropped and 926 obs not used

note: fes1_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_30 dropped and 141 obs not used

note: fes1_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_32 dropped and 809 obs not used

note: fes1_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_33 dropped and 869 obs not used

note: fes1_34 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_34 dropped and 869 obs not used

note: fes1_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_49 dropped and 285 obs not used

note: fes1_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_66 dropped and 659 obs not used

note: fes1_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_67 dropped and 31 obs not used

note: fes1_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_76 dropped and 815 obs not used

note: fes1_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_77 dropped and 864 obs not used

note: fes1_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_80 dropped and 920 obs not used

note: fes1_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_85 dropped and 728 obs not used

note: fes1_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_88 dropped and 339 obs not used

note: fes1_90 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_90 dropped and 482 obs not used

note: fes1_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_93 dropped and 71 obs not used

note: fes1_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_94 dropped and 423 obs not used

note: fes1_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_95 dropped and 730 obs not used

note: fes1_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_96 dropped and 816 obs not used

note: fes1_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_97 dropped and 1073 obs not used

note: fes1_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_98 dropped and 34 obs not used

note: fes1_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_99 dropped and 76 obs not used

note: fes1_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_100 dropped and 129 obs not used

note: fes1_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_101 dropped and 19 obs not used

note: fes1_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_103 dropped and 305 obs not used

note: fes1_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_104 dropped and 174 obs not used

note: fes1_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_110 dropped and 641 obs not used

note: fes1_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_111 dropped and 28 obs not used

note: fes1_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_117 dropped and 817 obs not used

note: fes1_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_118 dropped and 1185 obs not used

note: fes1_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_119 dropped and 1097 obs not used

note: fes1_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_120 dropped and 1053 obs not used

note: fes1_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_121 dropped and 742 obs not used

note: fes1_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_122 dropped and 788 obs not used

note: fes1_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_123 dropped and 995 obs not used

note: fes1_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_125 dropped and 509 obs not used

note: fes1_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_126 dropped and 987 obs not used

note: fes1_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_127 dropped and 736 obs not used

note: fes1_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_129 dropped and 531 obs not used

note: fes1_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_130 dropped and 918 obs not used

note: fes1_133 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_133 dropped and 1045 obs not used

note: fes1_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes1_135 dropped and 39 obs not used

note: fes2_4 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_4 dropped and 397 obs not used

note: fes2_5 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_5 dropped and 402 obs not used

note: fes2_15 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_15 dropped and 193 obs not used

note: fes2_17 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_17 dropped and 63 obs not used

note: fes2_19 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_19 dropped and 44 obs not used

note: fes2_20 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_20 dropped and 410 obs not used

note: fes2_21 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_21 dropped and 69 obs not used

note: fes2_23 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_23 dropped and 289 obs not used

note: fes2_24 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_24 dropped and 84 obs not used

note: fes2_28 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_28 dropped and 540 obs not used

note: fes2_29 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_29 dropped and 595 obs not used

note: fes2_30 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_30 dropped and 85 obs not used

note: fes2_32 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_32 dropped and 522 obs not used

note: fes2_33 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_33 dropped and 526 obs not used

note: fes2_49 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_49 dropped and 160 obs not used

note: fes2_66 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_66 dropped and 395 obs not used

note: fes2_67 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_67 dropped and 21 obs not used

note: fes2_76 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_76 dropped and 501 obs not used

note: fes2_77 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_77 dropped and 508 obs not used

note: fes2_80 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_80 dropped and 613 obs not used

note: fes2_85 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_85 dropped and 455 obs not used

note: fes2_88 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_88 dropped and 167 obs not used

note: fes2_93 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_93 dropped and 38 obs not used

note: fes2_94 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_94 dropped and 218 obs not used

note: fes2_95 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_95 dropped and 469 obs not used

note: fes2_96 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_96 dropped and 457 obs not used

note: fes2_97 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_97 dropped and 668 obs not used

note: fes2_98 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_98 dropped and 18 obs not used

note: fes2_99 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_99 dropped and 51 obs not used

note: fes2_100 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_100 dropped and 58 obs not used

note: fes2_101 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_101 dropped and 14 obs not used

note: fes2_103 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_103 dropped and 142 obs not used

note: fes2_104 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_104 dropped and 84 obs not used

note: fes2_110 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_110 dropped and 369 obs not used

note: fes2_111 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_111 dropped and 19 obs not used

note: fes2_117 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_117 dropped and 466 obs not used

note: fes2_118 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_118 dropped and 672 obs not used

note: fes2_119 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_119 dropped and 628 obs not used

note: fes2_120 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_120 dropped and 631 obs not used

note: fes2_121 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_121 dropped and 396 obs not used

note: fes2_122 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_122 dropped and 465 obs not used

note: fes2_123 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_123 dropped and 569 obs not used

note: fes2_125 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_125 dropped and 271 obs not used

note: fes2_126 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_126 dropped and 549 obs not used

note: fes2_127 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_127 dropped and 441 obs not used

note: fes2_129 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_129 dropped and 314 obs not used

note: fes2_130 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_130 dropped and 569 obs not used

note: fes2_131 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_131 dropped and 636 obs not used

note: fes2_135 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      fes2_135 dropped and 15 obs not used

note: fes1_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_83 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes1_138 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_3 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_8 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_9 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_10 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_11 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_12 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_13 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_14 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_16 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_18 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_22 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_26 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_27 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_31 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_41 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_50 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_51 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_53 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_54 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_55 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_58 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_65 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_73 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_75 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_83 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_91 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_92 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_107 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_108 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_112 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_113 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_114 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_115 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_116 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_124 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_128 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_132 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_134 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_136 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_137 dropped due to collinearity
note: fes2_138 dropped due to collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -1901.7127
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1345.5138
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1082.4782
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -959.98603
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -914.39762
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -905.04686
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -904.0633
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -903.93431
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -903.92569
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -903.92561
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -903.92561

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      19779
                                                  Wald chi2(123)  =    1356.20
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -903.92561                 Pseudo R2       =     0.5247

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .1487906   .2343718     0.63   0.526    -.3105697    .6081509
    distance |  -.6457527   .0803724    -8.03   0.000    -.8032797   -.4882258
     demp981 |   .1624101     .02799     5.80   0.000     .1075508    .2172695
     demp982 |   .1773964   .0269408     6.58   0.000     .1245934    .2301995
        tr95 |   97.07404    19.7094     4.93   0.000     58.44432    135.7038
          g1 |  -.0029604   .5937846    -0.00   0.996    -1.166757    1.160836
          g2 |  -.2914014   .4929884    -0.59   0.554    -1.257641     .674838
         gc1 |   .2044716   .0477794     4.28   0.000     .1108256    .2981176
         gc2 |   .2827472    .041347     6.84   0.000     .2017086    .3637859
     growth1 |  -.0114756   .0177887    -0.65   0.519    -.0463408    .0233896
     growth2 |  -.0162889   .0180408    -0.90   0.367    -.0516482    .0190704
      pdsrfc |  -33.63876   3.919765    -8.58   0.000    -41.32136   -25.95616
     pdsrfc2 |   -168.211   80.55629    -2.09   0.037    -326.0984   -10.32356
       tp2r1 |   3.002592   .4264272     7.04   0.000      2.16681    3.838374
       tp2r2 |   3.407957   .3940413     8.65   0.000     2.635651    4.180264
        year |  -.2519171   .0316203    -7.97   0.000    -.3138918   -.1899424
    dtgattl1 |   .2285052   .0267695     8.54   0.000      .176038    .2809724
      round2 |   1.681283   .2238106     7.51   0.000     1.242622    2.119943
       bad14 |   1.436745   .2016234     7.13   0.000     1.041571     1.83192
        f123 |  -.9093635   1.969452    -0.46   0.644    -4.769419    2.950692
        f_14 |   .5466512   .1891138     2.89   0.004     .1759949    .9173075
     fmrcolb |   1.677514   .2520922     6.65   0.000     1.183422    2.171605
     postcom |   5.106308   .9934693     5.14   0.000     3.159144    7.053472
      spldy1 |   .0750326   .0119152     6.30   0.000     .0516793    .0983859
      spldy2 |  -.1026126   .0128719    -7.97   0.000    -.1278411    -.077384
      spldy3 |   .0864282   .0093501     9.24   0.000     .0681025     .104754
      spldy4 |  -.0558497   .0062399    -8.95   0.000    -.0680796   -.0436198
      spldy5 |   .0291051   .0037974     7.66   0.000     .0216624    .0365478
      spldy6 |  -.0074511   .0013059    -5.71   0.000    -.0100106   -.0048916
      fes1_1 |  -13.74092   4.027043    -3.41   0.001    -21.63378   -5.848066
      fes1_6 |  -3.974855   .8112913    -4.90   0.000    -5.564956   -2.384753
      fes1_7 |  -3.344881   1.208426    -2.77   0.006    -5.713352   -.9764097
     fes1_25 |  -.9795659   1.204066    -0.81   0.416    -3.339491    1.380359
     fes1_28 |  -1.946615   .8687198    -2.24   0.025    -3.649274   -.2439549
     fes1_35 |  -5.535846   .8807404    -6.29   0.000    -7.262065   -3.809627
     fes1_36 |  -3.175107   .7894154    -4.02   0.000    -4.722333   -1.627881
     fes1_37 |  -5.686553   .9738709    -5.84   0.000    -7.595305   -3.777801
     fes1_38 |  -5.700277   1.014095    -5.62   0.000    -7.687868   -3.712687
     fes1_39 |  -6.602925   1.170759    -5.64   0.000     -8.89757    -4.30828
     fes1_40 |   -5.47927   .9373268    -5.85   0.000    -7.316397   -3.642143
     fes1_42 |   -12.0967   1.897384    -6.38   0.000     -15.8155   -8.377895
     fes1_43 |  -3.009146   .5939496    -5.07   0.000    -4.173265   -1.845026
     fes1_44 |   -2.69033   .5260774    -5.11   0.000    -3.721423   -1.659237
     fes1_45 |  -3.937544   .8105679    -4.86   0.000    -5.526228    -2.34886
     fes1_46 |  -5.350664   1.228901    -4.35   0.000    -7.759266   -2.942063
     fes1_47 |  -7.255974   1.142157    -6.35   0.000    -9.494561   -5.017386
     fes1_48 |  -2.574577    .970947    -2.65   0.008    -4.477599   -.6715563
     fes1_52 |  -4.325958   .7665786    -5.64   0.000    -5.828424   -2.823491
     fes1_56 |  -3.984481   .6959902    -5.72   0.000    -5.348596   -2.620365
     fes1_57 |  -4.003256   .7259677    -5.51   0.000    -5.426126   -2.580385
     fes1_59 |  -3.734928   1.065202    -3.51   0.000    -5.822685    -1.64717
     fes1_60 |  -6.470613   1.127267    -5.74   0.000    -8.680016    -4.26121
     fes1_61 |  -6.963094   1.191934    -5.84   0.000    -9.299242   -4.626945
     fes1_62 |  -6.972599   1.261694    -5.53   0.000    -9.445473   -4.499725
     fes1_63 |   -6.45972   1.257689    -5.14   0.000    -8.924745   -3.994696
     fes1_64 |   -4.03732   1.168442    -3.46   0.001    -6.327424   -1.747215
     fes1_68 |  -1.956285   .7539792    -2.59   0.009    -3.434056   -.4785125
     fes1_69 |  -1.766476   .8942904    -1.98   0.048    -3.519252   -.0136987
     fes1_70 |  -.6329745   .4316715    -1.47   0.143    -1.479035    .2130861
     fes1_71 |    .306063    .420147     0.73   0.466    -.5174099    1.129536
     fes1_72 |   .1190204   .3765918     0.32   0.752     -.619086    .8571268
     fes1_74 |  -.4959166   .5234512    -0.95   0.343    -1.521862    .5300289
     fes1_78 |   .4559042   .4197873     1.09   0.277    -.3668638    1.278672
     fes1_79 |  -.0646611   .4710697    -0.14   0.891    -.9879408    .8586185
     fes1_81 |  -.2992137   .4994938    -0.60   0.549    -1.278203    .6797761
     fes1_82 |   -.921332   .6969635    -1.32   0.186    -2.287355    .4446914
     fes1_84 |   .1408009   .5078736     0.28   0.782     -.854613    1.136215
     fes1_86 |  -1.257446   1.156446    -1.09   0.277    -3.524038    1.009146
     fes1_87 |  -.4754903   .6531408    -0.73   0.467    -1.755623    .8046421
     fes1_89 |  -1.120243   .9062086    -1.24   0.216     -2.89638    .6558927
    fes1_102 |    .599149   .7349747     0.82   0.415    -.8413748    2.039673
    fes1_105 |  -3.223965   .7760261    -4.15   0.000    -4.744948   -1.702982
    fes1_106 |    .140346   .6075114     0.23   0.817    -1.050354    1.331046
    fes1_109 |  -4.996977   .8701543    -5.74   0.000    -6.702448   -3.291506
    fes1_131 |  -5.754936   1.160375    -4.96   0.000     -8.02923   -3.480642
      fes2_1 |  -11.02611   2.127379    -5.18   0.000     -15.1957   -6.856527
      fes2_2 |  -12.80941   1.542281    -8.31   0.000    -15.83222   -9.786592
      fes2_6 |  -4.384277    1.30642    -3.36   0.001    -6.944813    -1.82374
      fes2_7 |  -4.511737   .8007909    -5.63   0.000    -6.081259   -2.942216
     fes2_25 |  -1.988337   1.103341    -1.80   0.072    -4.150846    .1741719
     fes2_34 |  -3.790994   .9876244    -3.84   0.000    -5.726702   -1.855285
     fes2_35 |  -6.322751   .7985773    -7.92   0.000    -7.887934   -4.757568
     fes2_36 |  -4.242472    .773634    -5.48   0.000    -5.758767   -2.726177
     fes2_37 |  -6.904734   .9235338    -7.48   0.000    -8.714827   -5.094641
     fes2_38 |  -7.198709    .899724    -8.00   0.000    -8.962136   -5.435282
     fes2_39 |  -8.788538   1.176395    -7.47   0.000    -11.09423   -6.482846
     fes2_40 |  -6.926633   .8256725    -8.39   0.000    -8.544921   -5.308344
     fes2_42 |  -14.19802   1.756909    -8.08   0.000     -17.6415   -10.75454
     fes2_43 |  -3.467436   .5368045    -6.46   0.000    -4.519553   -2.415318
     fes2_44 |  -3.327519   .5542945    -6.00   0.000    -4.413916   -2.241122
     fes2_45 |  -6.102858   .8216554    -7.43   0.000    -7.713273   -4.492443
     fes2_46 |  -6.372542   1.084723    -5.87   0.000     -8.49856   -4.246524
     fes2_47 |  -8.645901   1.009911    -8.56   0.000    -10.62529   -6.666513
     fes2_48 |  -3.600662   1.022095    -3.52   0.000    -5.603932   -1.597392
     fes2_52 |  -5.646992   .7661104    -7.37   0.000    -7.148541   -4.145444
     fes2_56 |  -4.973768   .7083305    -7.02   0.000     -6.36207   -3.585466
     fes2_57 |  -4.779909   .7835865    -6.10   0.000     -6.31571   -3.244107
     fes2_59 |  -3.180941    1.07699    -2.95   0.003    -5.291803   -1.070078
     fes2_60 |  -8.294732   1.020693    -8.13   0.000    -10.29525   -6.294209
     fes2_61 |  -9.721582   1.115042    -8.72   0.000    -11.90702   -7.536139
     fes2_62 |  -9.211421   1.101441    -8.36   0.000    -11.37021   -7.052637
     fes2_63 |  -8.892415   1.094063    -8.13   0.000    -11.03674    -6.74809
     fes2_64 |  -7.348679   1.119167    -6.57   0.000    -9.542205   -5.155153
     fes2_68 |  -1.126929   .5933618    -1.90   0.058    -2.289897    .0360384
     fes2_69 |  -1.405321   .7192227    -1.95   0.051    -2.814972    .0043295
     fes2_70 |  -.2014746   .4112444    -0.49   0.624    -1.007499    .6045497
     fes2_71 |   -.366842   .5582475    -0.66   0.511    -1.460987     .727303
     fes2_72 |   .0958519   .4449913     0.22   0.829    -.7763149    .9680188
     fes2_74 |  -.1186614   .4353437    -0.27   0.785    -.9719195    .7345967
     fes2_78 |  -.6227803   .5203761    -1.20   0.231    -1.642699     .397138
     fes2_79 |  -.4828727   .4665014    -1.04   0.301    -1.397199    .4314532
     fes2_81 |  -.9674037   .4499146    -2.15   0.032     -1.84922   -.0855873
     fes2_82 |   .2117428   .3958846     0.53   0.593    -.5641767    .9876624
     fes2_84 |  -.4586056    .381912    -1.20   0.230    -1.207139    .2899281
     fes2_86 |  -.5196249   .6265354    -0.83   0.407    -1.747612    .7083619
     fes2_87 |  -1.207986   .8549038    -1.41   0.158    -2.883567    .4675947
     fes2_89 |  -1.026307   .6605999    -1.55   0.120     -2.32106    .2684445
     fes2_90 |  -.3679773   .5473161    -0.67   0.501    -1.440697    .7047425
    fes2_102 |   .0454803   .7128764     0.06   0.949    -1.351732    1.442692
    fes2_105 |  -4.343927   .8605913    -5.05   0.000    -6.030655     -2.6572
    fes2_106 |   -.508449   .6573813    -0.77   0.439    -1.796893    .7799947
    fes2_109 |  -6.289632   .8271753    -7.60   0.000    -7.910866   -4.668398
    fes2_133 |  -5.175645   1.034368    -5.00   0.000     -7.20297   -3.148321
       _cons |   493.7108   62.20133     7.94   0.000     371.7984    615.6232
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 386 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. 
. use pta2, clear
(June 2002 GATT/WTO Directed Dyad Year PTA Dataset)

. * tests in bottom paragraph page 851, top page 852 *
. * control for hegemony, MID, trade dependence *
. * 1st version of hegemony variable *
. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 mid15 alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 
> tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5315.0866
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4026.3906
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3446.4273
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3228.0064
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3180.7071
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3177.5438
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3177.5244

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     148784
                                                  Wald chi2(25)   =    2558.26
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3177.5244                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4022

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -73.66767   9.476353    -7.77   0.000    -92.24098   -55.09436
     tradep1 |  -.1546636   1.886724    -0.08   0.935    -3.852575    3.543248
       mid15 |  -1.754836   .8033284    -2.18   0.029    -3.329331   -.1803412
    alliance |   .2873489   .1160883     2.48   0.013     .0598201    .5148778
    distance |  -.6490653   .0271937   -23.87   0.000     -.702364   -.5957665
     demp981 |   .0695402   .0054823    12.68   0.000     .0587951    .0802852
        tr95 |    14.0934   5.940258     2.37   0.018     2.450703    25.73609
          g1 |  -.2810494   .0683461    -4.11   0.000    -.4150053   -.1470935
         gc1 |   .0075908    .004391     1.73   0.084    -.0010154     .016197
     growth1 |  -.0234446   .0083437    -2.81   0.005     -.039798   -.0070912
      pdsrfc |  -39.85775   4.217297    -9.45   0.000     -48.1235     -31.592
     pdsrfc2 |  -310.4607   75.34325    -4.12   0.000    -458.1307   -162.7906
       tp2r1 |   3.020596   .1381941    21.86   0.000      2.74974    3.291451
        year |  -.5504807   .0461824   -11.92   0.000    -.6409965    -.459965
      gattl1 |   .2312372   .0309346     7.48   0.000     .1706064     .291868
      round2 |   1.665171   .1366466    12.19   0.000     1.397349    1.932994
       bad14 |   1.340613   .1252861    10.70   0.000     1.095057     1.58617
        f123 |   -1.06196    .647914    -1.64   0.101    -2.331848    .2079276
        f_14 |   .4820269   .1365222     3.53   0.000     .2144482    .7496055
      spldy1 |   .0813332   .0085695     9.49   0.000     .0645372    .0981291
      spldy2 |  -.0990543   .0094003   -10.54   0.000    -.1174785   -.0806301
      spldy3 |   .0759659   .0061256    12.40   0.000     .0639599    .0879719
      spldy4 |  -.0503349   .0035198   -14.30   0.000    -.0572335   -.0434362
      spldy5 |   .0303512   .0021714    13.98   0.000     .0260954    .0346071
      spldy6 |  -.0093672   .0007903   -11.85   0.000    -.0109161   -.0078183
       _cons |   1075.272   89.52023    12.01   0.000     899.8156    1250.728
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 3 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 mid15 distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 roun
> d2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5562.4894
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4252.7209
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3687.9269
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3475.8134
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3431.6577
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3428.9502
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3428.9364

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     155942
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    2343.09
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3428.9364                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3836

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -81.56386   9.136715    -8.93   0.000    -99.47149   -63.65623
     tradep1 |  -.3264356   .7855604    -0.42   0.678    -1.866106    1.213235
       mid15 |   -1.91904   .7973852    -2.41   0.016    -3.481886    -.356194
    distance |  -.6828686   .0268679   -25.42   0.000    -.7355287   -.6302085
     demp981 |   .0669854   .0056792    11.79   0.000     .0558543    .0781165
          g1 |  -.1978525   .0587587    -3.37   0.001    -.3130175   -.0826875
         gc1 |   .0061644   .0042397     1.45   0.146    -.0021453    .0144741
      pdsrfc |  -34.85058   3.384636   -10.30   0.000    -41.48435   -28.21682
     pdsrfc2 |  -428.3762   65.55701    -6.53   0.000    -556.8656   -299.8868
       tp2r1 |   2.941099   .1368605    21.49   0.000     2.672858    3.209341
        year |  -.5055033   .0363792   -13.90   0.000    -.5768051   -.4342014
      gattl1 |    .192841   .0224264     8.60   0.000     .1488861    .2367958
      round2 |   1.542388    .131485    11.73   0.000     1.284682    1.800094
       bad14 |   1.190348   .1197248     9.94   0.000     .9556915    1.425004
        f123 |  -.8670702   .6399671    -1.35   0.175    -2.121383    .3872423
        f_14 |   .4877141   .1295971     3.76   0.000     .2337085    .7417197
      spldy1 |   .0770019   .0080323     9.59   0.000     .0612589    .0927448
      spldy2 |  -.0968408   .0087601   -11.05   0.000    -.1140103   -.0796713
      spldy3 |   .0763784   .0057661    13.25   0.000      .065077    .0876798
      spldy4 |  -.0510491   .0033863   -15.08   0.000    -.0576862   -.0444121
      spldy5 |   .0306145   .0020979    14.59   0.000     .0265028    .0347262
      spldy6 |  -.0094037   .0007638   -12.31   0.000    -.0109007   -.0079067
       _cons |   990.7928   70.97576    13.96   0.000     851.6829    1129.903
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 mid15 alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 
> tp2r1 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster
> (dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5315.0866
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -3953.5443
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3326.3777
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -3086.924
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3028.3662
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3022.9917
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3022.9186
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3022.9186

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     148784
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    2495.04
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3022.9186                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4313

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -101.0791   14.29889    -7.07   0.000    -129.1044   -73.05379
     tradep1 |  -1.847975   1.853426    -1.00   0.319    -5.480624    1.784674
       mid15 |    -1.7748   .8133581    -2.18   0.029    -3.368953   -.1806477
    alliance |   .4639648   .1172553     3.96   0.000     .2341486     .693781
    distance |  -.5619272   .0273411   -20.55   0.000    -.6155147   -.5083397
     demp981 |   .0626493   .0052439    11.95   0.000     .0523714    .0729271
        tr95 |   21.39379   5.937121     3.60   0.000     9.757251    33.03034
          g1 |  -.3283951    .070663    -4.65   0.000    -.4668922   -.1898981
         gc1 |   .0159949   .0044901     3.56   0.000     .0071945    .0247953
     growth1 |   .0097513   .0078774     1.24   0.216    -.0056881    .0251906
      pdsrfc |  -34.90748   3.364217   -10.38   0.000    -41.50123   -28.31374
     pdsrfc2 |  -402.1298   71.60135    -5.62   0.000    -542.4658   -261.7937
       tp2r1 |   3.050273   .1516387    20.12   0.000     2.753067     3.34748
        year |  -.1726336   .0250114    -6.90   0.000     -.221655   -.1236122
    dtgattl1 |   .2148745   .0244483     8.79   0.000     .1669567    .2627923
      round2 |   1.386021   .1411393     9.82   0.000     1.109393    1.662648
       bad14 |    1.52898    .129936    11.77   0.000      1.27431     1.78365
        f123 |  -.9798021    .659825    -1.48   0.138    -2.273035    .3134311
        f_14 |     .53186    .135403     3.93   0.000      .266475     .797245
     fmrcolb |   1.523798   .2140371     7.12   0.000     1.104293    1.943303
     postcom |    3.52652   .3578475     9.85   0.000     2.825152    4.227888
      spldy1 |   .0814351   .0083964     9.70   0.000     .0649785    .0978918
      spldy2 |  -.0977617   .0091826   -10.65   0.000    -.1157594   -.0797641
      spldy3 |   .0729139   .0060043    12.14   0.000     .0611457    .0846821
      spldy4 |  -.0456158   .0035388   -12.89   0.000    -.0525518   -.0386798
      spldy5 |   .0257013   .0022809    11.27   0.000     .0212308    .0301717
      spldy6 |  -.0073671   .0008694    -8.47   0.000    -.0090712    -.005663
       _cons |   350.2795   50.80179     6.90   0.000     250.7098    449.8492
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 3 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 tradep2 mid15 alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 
> growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1
> ~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2361.8443
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1733.2977
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1410.5361
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1280.3128
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1243.4164
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1238.9817
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1238.889
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1238.8889

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      64705
                                                  Wald chi2(31)   =    1361.87
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1238.8889                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4755

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -69.49564    11.2434    -6.18   0.000    -91.53229   -47.45898
     tradep1 |   1.648421   2.726084     0.60   0.545    -3.694606    6.991447
     tradep2 |   5.344406   1.722149     3.10   0.002     1.969057    8.719755
       mid15 |  -2.296845   1.187435    -1.93   0.053    -4.624174     .030484
    alliance |   .2124134   .1380266     1.54   0.124    -.0581138    .4829407
    distance |  -.5970777   .0372534   -16.03   0.000     -.670093   -.5240623
     demp981 |   .0680068   .0100123     6.79   0.000      .048383    .0876306
     demp982 |   .0475688   .0100596     4.73   0.000     .0278524    .0672852
        tr95 |    27.0339   7.076078     3.82   0.000     13.16504    40.90275
          g1 |  -.3738661   .1508828    -2.48   0.013    -.6695909   -.0781413
          g2 |  -.2077861   .1811606    -1.15   0.251    -.5628542    .1472821
         gc1 |  -.0325563   .0073899    -4.41   0.000    -.0470403   -.0180723
         gc2 |  -.0096384   .0076691    -1.26   0.209    -.0246695    .0053928
     growth1 |  -.0435325   .0150778    -2.89   0.004    -.0730844   -.0139806
     growth2 |  -.0481649   .0152324    -3.16   0.002    -.0780198     -.01831
      pdsrfc |  -45.85606   5.890079    -7.79   0.000     -57.4004   -34.31171
     pdsrfc2 |  -216.5296   86.28573    -2.51   0.012    -385.6465   -47.41263
       tp2r1 |    3.37041   .2530081    13.32   0.000     2.874523    3.866296
       tp2r2 |   3.416031    .246582    13.85   0.000     2.932739    3.899323
        year |  -.6165328   .0655549    -9.40   0.000     -.745018   -.4880475
      gattl1 |   .2709993   .0443825     6.11   0.000     .1840113    .3579873
      round2 |   1.802576   .1668318    10.80   0.000     1.475592     2.12956
       bad14 |   1.551626   .1574468     9.85   0.000     1.243036    1.860216
        f123 |  -.6787967   .6759934    -1.00   0.315    -2.003719     .646126
        f_14 |   .4757761   .1640675     2.90   0.004     .1542097    .7973425
      spldy1 |   .0880135   .0094221     9.34   0.000     .0695464    .1064805
      spldy2 |  -.1030119   .0102628   -10.04   0.000    -.1231266   -.0828971
      spldy3 |    .078175   .0068404    11.43   0.000      .064768     .091582
      spldy4 |  -.0536477   .0041496   -12.93   0.000    -.0617807   -.0455146
      spldy5 |   .0333678   .0025999    12.83   0.000     .0282722    .0384634
      spldy6 |  -.0104936   .0009276   -11.31   0.000    -.0123118   -.0086754
       _cons |   1201.442   126.6988     9.48   0.000     953.1165    1449.767
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 50 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 tradep2 mid15 distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2
>  tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluste
> r(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2577.7072
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1917.8282
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1622.5564
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1504.9981
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1475.6954
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1473.0935
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1473.0651
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1473.0651

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      70006
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1480.31
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1473.0651                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4285

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -83.82941   9.674168    -8.67   0.000    -102.7904   -64.86839
     tradep1 |   1.112994   1.491294     0.75   0.455     -1.80989    4.035877
     tradep2 |   .8308826   1.292157     0.64   0.520    -1.701698    3.363463
       mid15 |  -2.286671   1.144731    -2.00   0.046    -4.530302   -.0430407
    distance |  -.6617419    .035569   -18.60   0.000    -.7314559   -.5920279
     demp981 |   .0669426   .0098183     6.82   0.000      .047699    .0861862
     demp982 |   .0491618    .009659     5.09   0.000     .0302305     .068093
          g1 |  -.0806088   .1313397    -0.61   0.539    -.3380298    .1768123
          g2 |  -.0429355   .1181647    -0.36   0.716     -.274534     .188663
         gc1 |  -.0254049    .007123    -3.57   0.000    -.0393657   -.0114441
         gc2 |  -.0040905   .0071434    -0.57   0.567    -.0180914    .0099104
      pdsrfc |  -35.21453      3.584    -9.83   0.000    -42.23904   -28.19002
     pdsrfc2 |  -415.0285    60.9419    -6.81   0.000    -534.4724   -295.5845
       tp2r1 |    2.80818   .2242718    12.52   0.000     2.368615    3.247745
       tp2r2 |   2.824937   .2330866    12.12   0.000     2.368096    3.281778
        year |  -.4973276   .0369239   -13.47   0.000    -.5696971   -.4249581
      gattl1 |   .1859451    .021379     8.70   0.000     .1440431    .2278472
      round2 |   1.586829   .1468543    10.81   0.000        1.299    1.874658
       bad14 |   1.246971   .1319432     9.45   0.000     .9883675    1.505576
        f123 |  -.8928112   .6866782    -1.30   0.194    -2.238676    .4530534
        f_14 |   .4527195   .1419804     3.19   0.001     .1744431    .7309959
      spldy1 |   .0791009   .0082751     9.56   0.000      .062882    .0953199
      spldy2 |  -.0985993   .0088876   -11.09   0.000    -.1160186     -.08118
      spldy3 |   .0785309   .0059666    13.16   0.000     .0668366    .0902251
      spldy4 |  -.0537872   .0037227   -14.45   0.000    -.0610836   -.0464907
      spldy5 |   .0326689    .002374    13.76   0.000     .0280158    .0373219
      spldy6 |  -.0101081   .0008619   -11.73   0.000    -.0117974   -.0084188
       _cons |   975.0741   72.18067    13.51   0.000     833.6026    1116.546
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 19 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar hegl1 tradep1 tradep2 mid15 alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 
> growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom
>  spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2361.8443
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1720.6963
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1361.1159
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1217.7492
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =   -1172.53
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1165.5409
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1165.2911
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1165.2906
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -1165.2906

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      64705
                                                  Wald chi2(33)   =    1374.33
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1165.2906                 Pseudo R2       =     0.5066

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       hegl1 |  -97.13747    17.3511    -5.60   0.000     -131.145   -63.12994
     tradep1 |   .0201944   2.426364     0.01   0.993    -4.735392    4.775781
     tradep2 |    3.22014   2.209892     1.46   0.145    -1.111168    7.551448
       mid15 |  -2.150049   1.203083    -1.79   0.074    -4.508049    .2079501
    alliance |   .4621452   .1449877     3.19   0.001     .1779745    .7463158
    distance |   -.463041   .0367595   -12.60   0.000    -.5350883   -.3909937
     demp981 |   .0635214   .0094174     6.75   0.000     .0450637    .0819791
     demp982 |   .0445184   .0095051     4.68   0.000     .0258888     .063148
        tr95 |    40.7697   7.132604     5.72   0.000     26.79005    54.74935
          g1 |  -.3995285   .1553302    -2.57   0.010    -.7039701   -.0950869
          g2 |  -.2632626   .1926382    -1.37   0.172    -.6408266    .1143014
         gc1 |  -.0259063   .0073412    -3.53   0.000    -.0402949   -.0115178
         gc2 |  -.0037627   .0075376    -0.50   0.618    -.0185362    .0110108
     growth1 |  -.0118148   .0137705    -0.86   0.391    -.0388044    .0151749
     growth2 |  -.0208357   .0143667    -1.45   0.147    -.0489939    .0073226
      pdsrfc |  -40.45561   4.479651    -9.03   0.000    -49.23557   -31.67566
     pdsrfc2 |  -288.7117   75.41899    -3.83   0.000    -436.5302   -140.8932
       tp2r1 |   3.800477   .2652794    14.33   0.000     3.280539    4.320415
       tp2r2 |    3.88105   .2650452    14.64   0.000     3.361571    4.400529
        year |  -.1717925   .0279711    -6.14   0.000    -.2266149   -.1169701
    dtgattl1 |   .2395988   .0323239     7.41   0.000     .1762452    .3029524
      round2 |   1.386119   .1677921     8.26   0.000     1.057252    1.714985
       bad14 |   1.775772   .1629424    10.90   0.000      1.45641    2.095133
        f123 |  -.6223088   .6619642    -0.94   0.347    -1.919735    .6751172
        f_14 |   .4876296   .1635545     2.98   0.003     .1670687    .8081905
     fmrcolb |   1.821403   .3153984     5.77   0.000     1.203234    2.439573
     postcom |   3.697695   .3419803    10.81   0.000     3.027426    4.367964
      spldy1 |   .0889449   .0093374     9.53   0.000      .070644    .1072458
      spldy2 |  -.1007205   .0100982    -9.97   0.000    -.1205127   -.0809284
      spldy3 |   .0729302   .0067318    10.83   0.000     .0597362    .0861242
      spldy4 |  -.0470861   .0041366   -11.38   0.000    -.0551937   -.0389785
      spldy5 |   .0277395   .0026576    10.44   0.000     .0225306    .0329484
      spldy6 |  -.0082932    .000981    -8.45   0.000    -.0102159   -.0063705
       _cons |   347.0663   56.81686     6.11   0.000     235.7073    458.4253
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 52 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. * 2nd version of hegemony variable *
. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 mid15 alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc
> 2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5315.0866
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4050.7209
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3489.9396
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3283.8636
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3240.2958
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3237.4541
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3237.4371
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3237.4371

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     148784
                                                  Wald chi2(25)   =    2725.59
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3237.4371                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3909

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |   .0013576   .1235392     0.01   0.991    -.2407747    .2434899
     tradep1 |  -.2965998   1.994159    -0.15   0.882     -4.20508    3.611881
       mid15 |  -1.536111   .7941848    -1.93   0.053    -3.092685    .0204623
    alliance |   .2573814   .1161155     2.22   0.027     .0297992    .4849636
    distance |  -.6310544   .0272815   -23.13   0.000    -.6845252   -.5775836
     demp981 |   .0650233   .0055349    11.75   0.000     .0541752    .0758714
        tr95 |   15.08224   5.752501     2.62   0.009     3.807545    26.35694
          g1 |  -.2758658    .069825    -3.95   0.000    -.4127203   -.1390113
         gc1 |   .0090042   .0043727     2.06   0.039      .000434    .0175745
     growth1 |  -.0241266   .0082348    -2.93   0.003    -.0402664   -.0079867
      pdsrfc |  -37.32015   3.984283    -9.37   0.000     -45.1292    -29.5111
     pdsrfc2 |   -371.384   85.48504    -4.34   0.000    -538.9316   -203.8364
       tp2r1 |   3.005419   .1373034    21.89   0.000     2.736309    3.274529
        year |  -.5013348   .0486596   -10.30   0.000    -.5967058   -.4059637
      gattl1 |   .2495681   .0304441     8.20   0.000     .1898988    .3092373
      round2 |   1.864069   .1801742    10.35   0.000     1.510934    2.217204
       bad14 |   1.184407   .1154236    10.26   0.000     .9581808    1.410633
        f123 |  -.9339988   .6412566    -1.46   0.145    -2.190839     .322841
        f_14 |   .5286412   .1354103     3.90   0.000     .2632418    .7940405
      spldy1 |   .0801579   .0089735     8.93   0.000     .0625701    .0977458
      spldy2 |  -.1006633    .009887   -10.18   0.000    -.1200413   -.0812852
      spldy3 |   .0777338   .0064373    12.08   0.000     .0651169    .0903507
      spldy4 |  -.0493744   .0036891   -13.38   0.000     -.056605   -.0421438
      spldy5 |   .0282246   .0022935    12.31   0.000     .0237295    .0327197
      spldy6 |  -.0083222   .0008461    -9.84   0.000    -.0099805   -.0066639
       _cons |   965.8328   94.13351    10.26   0.000     781.3345    1150.331
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 mid15 distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5562.4894
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =    -4286.7
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3752.4891
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3556.9834
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3516.3861
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3513.8379
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3513.8238

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     155942
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    2721.20
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3513.8238                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3683

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |   .1654571   .1112114     1.49   0.137    -.0525133    .3834275
     tradep1 |  -.0246479   .8846646    -0.03   0.978    -1.758559    1.709263
       mid15 |  -1.603963   .7931103    -2.02   0.043    -3.158431   -.0494954
    distance |  -.6569387   .0270498   -24.29   0.000    -.7099553   -.6039222
     demp981 |    .060445   .0057788    10.46   0.000     .0491188    .0717713
          g1 |  -.1689253   .0559939    -3.02   0.003    -.2786712   -.0591793
         gc1 |   .0087574   .0042244     2.07   0.038     .0004778    .0170371
      pdsrfc |  -31.30066   3.348618    -9.35   0.000    -37.86383   -24.73749
     pdsrfc2 |  -541.9742   80.51442    -6.73   0.000    -699.7795   -384.1688
       tp2r1 |   2.915237   .1351425    21.57   0.000     2.650363    3.180112
        year |  -.4175851   .0376976   -11.08   0.000     -.491471   -.3436991
      gattl1 |   .2092945   .0211975     9.87   0.000     .1677482    .2508408
      round2 |   1.813835   .1753517    10.34   0.000     1.470152    2.157519
       bad14 |   .9784841    .107411     9.11   0.000     .7679623    1.189006
        f123 |  -.6528433   .6232011    -1.05   0.295    -1.874295    .5686084
        f_14 |   .5663068    .126156     4.49   0.000     .3190457    .8135679
      spldy1 |   .0732163   .0086803     8.43   0.000     .0562032    .0902295
      spldy2 |  -.0963013   .0094705   -10.17   0.000    -.1148631   -.0777395
      spldy3 |   .0768916   .0061698    12.46   0.000      .064799    .0889841
      spldy4 |   -.048821   .0035776   -13.65   0.000     -.055833    -.041809
      spldy5 |    .027324   .0022252    12.28   0.000     .0229626    .0316853
      spldy6 |   -.007895   .0008234    -9.59   0.000    -.0095089   -.0062811
       _cons |   803.0289   73.23147    10.97   0.000     659.4978    946.5599
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 13 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 mid15 alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc
> 2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust clust
> er(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5315.0866
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -3978.0839
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3375.6259
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3157.8151
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3109.5901
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3106.0621
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3106.0355

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     148784
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    2833.60
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3106.0355                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4156

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |  -.2285452   .1333374    -1.71   0.087    -.4898817    .0327914
     tradep1 |  -1.968589   1.980307    -0.99   0.320    -5.849919    1.912741
       mid15 |  -1.566711   .8092242    -1.94   0.053    -3.152761    .0193394
    alliance |   .4462968   .1159399     3.85   0.000     .2190588    .6735347
    distance |  -.5520462   .0270357   -20.42   0.000    -.6050352   -.4990572
     demp981 |   .0601661   .0052918    11.37   0.000     .0497945    .0705378
        tr95 |   21.62931   5.699798     3.79   0.000     10.45791    32.80071
          g1 |   -.338933   .0738343    -4.59   0.000    -.4836456   -.1942205
         gc1 |   .0171231   .0044226     3.87   0.000      .008455    .0257913
     growth1 |   .0043837    .007746     0.57   0.571    -.0107981    .0195656
      pdsrfc |  -32.27877   3.325786    -9.71   0.000    -38.79719   -25.76034
     pdsrfc2 |   -457.081   81.16354    -5.63   0.000    -616.1586   -298.0034
       tp2r1 |    3.05899   .1492453    20.50   0.000     2.766475    3.351506
        year |   -.077461   .0230631    -3.36   0.001    -.1226638   -.0322581
    dtgattl1 |   .2345478   .0250263     9.37   0.000     .1854972    .2835984
      round2 |   1.574463   .1811735     8.69   0.000     1.219369    1.929556
       bad14 |    1.29057   .1159906    11.13   0.000     1.063232    1.517907
        f123 |  -.8369795   .6428868    -1.30   0.193    -2.097014    .4230554
        f_14 |   .5773298   .1353291     4.27   0.000     .3120895      .84257
     fmrcolb |   1.581427   .2082393     7.59   0.000     1.173285    1.989568
     postcom |    2.87436   .2254524    12.75   0.000     2.432482    3.316239
      spldy1 |   .0802103   .0087829     9.13   0.000     .0629961    .0974244
      spldy2 |  -.0996079   .0096305   -10.34   0.000    -.1184833   -.0807325
      spldy3 |   .0753969   .0062661    12.03   0.000     .0631156    .0876783
      spldy4 |  -.0457154   .0036787   -12.43   0.000    -.0529255   -.0385054
      spldy5 |    .024468   .0024033    10.18   0.000     .0197575    .0291785
      spldy6 |  -.0066434   .0009261    -7.17   0.000    -.0084585   -.0048283
       _cons |   148.4226   46.01225     3.23   0.001     58.24029     238.605
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 tradep2 mid15 alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc
> 2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2r
> l1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2361.8443
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1738.3975
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1420.7696
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1295.7809
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1262.071
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1258.3535
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1258.2876
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1258.2875

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      64705
                                                  Wald chi2(31)   =    1448.73
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1258.2875                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4672

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |  -.0252073   .1491226    -0.17   0.866    -.3174822    .2670677
     tradep1 |   1.027823    3.24114     0.32   0.751    -5.324695    7.380341
     tradep2 |   5.473595   1.727257     3.17   0.002     2.088234    8.858957
       mid15 |  -2.043469   1.157782    -1.76   0.078     -4.31268    .2257418
    alliance |   .1867741   .1379528     1.35   0.176    -.0836083    .4571565
    distance |  -.5638098   .0372867   -15.12   0.000    -.6368904   -.4907291
     demp981 |   .0640927   .0100103     6.40   0.000     .0444729    .0837125
     demp982 |   .0426901   .0100814     4.23   0.000     .0229309    .0624492
        tr95 |     28.396    7.22573     3.93   0.000     14.23383    42.55817
          g1 |   -.371163   .1496186    -2.48   0.013      -.66441    -.077916
          g2 |  -.1906561   .1814773    -1.05   0.293    -.5463452    .1650329
         gc1 |  -.0322566   .0073908    -4.36   0.000    -.0467422    -.017771
         gc2 |  -.0100278   .0075567    -1.33   0.185    -.0248388    .0047831
     growth1 |  -.0456607   .0150666    -3.03   0.002    -.0751907   -.0161307
     growth2 |  -.0472374   .0150904    -3.13   0.002     -.076814   -.0176608
      pdsrfc |  -44.17064   5.816481    -7.59   0.000    -55.57073   -32.77054
     pdsrfc2 |  -217.9875   93.29359    -2.34   0.019    -400.8396    -35.1354
       tp2r1 |   3.483486    .255282    13.65   0.000     2.983142    3.983829
       tp2r2 |   3.485223   .2485943    14.02   0.000     2.997987    3.972458
        year |  -.5766683   .0718167    -8.03   0.000    -.7174265   -.4359101
      gattl1 |   .2898193   .0462581     6.27   0.000      .199155    .3804836
      round2 |   1.929602   .2031053     9.50   0.000     1.531523    2.327681
       bad14 |   1.415381    .145309     9.74   0.000      1.13058    1.700181
        f123 |  -.5933206   .7235629    -0.82   0.412    -2.011478    .8248367
        f_14 |   .5415154   .1627581     3.33   0.001     .2225154    .8605155
      spldy1 |   .0858511    .009709     8.84   0.000     .0668219    .1048804
      spldy2 |  -.1022707   .0105716    -9.67   0.000    -.1229907   -.0815507
      spldy3 |   .0776155   .0069914    11.10   0.000     .0639127    .0913183
      spldy4 |  -.0515473   .0042459   -12.14   0.000    -.0598692   -.0432254
      spldy5 |   .0310369   .0027149    11.43   0.000     .0257158    .0363579
      spldy6 |  -.0095393   .0009829    -9.71   0.000    -.0114658   -.0076129
       _cons |   1110.965   138.6001     8.02   0.000     839.3134    1382.616
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 19 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 tradep2 mid15 distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust clus
> ter(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2577.7072
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1928.4917
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1646.3134
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1538.8578
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1513.7006
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1511.6435
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1511.624
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1511.624

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      70006
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1798.18
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood =  -1511.624                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4136

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |   .2384003   .1239177     1.92   0.054     -.004474    .4812746
     tradep1 |   1.655365   1.533715     1.08   0.280    -1.350661    4.661392
     tradep2 |   1.579816   1.269558     1.24   0.213    -.9084718    4.068103
       mid15 |  -1.860704   1.111525    -1.67   0.094    -4.039252    .3178449
    distance |  -.6065888   .0357135   -16.98   0.000    -.6765859   -.5365916
     demp981 |   .0585953   .0097532     6.01   0.000     .0394795    .0777111
     demp982 |    .040559   .0097451     4.16   0.000     .0214589    .0596592
          g1 |    -.07306   .1261421    -0.58   0.562    -.3202939    .1741739
          g2 |  -.0326361   .1153386    -0.28   0.777    -.2586957    .1934234
         gc1 |  -.0229213   .0070283    -3.26   0.001    -.0366965   -.0091461
         gc2 |  -.0031766   .0069609    -0.46   0.648    -.0168197    .0104665
      pdsrfc |  -31.52869   3.673052    -8.58   0.000    -38.72774   -24.32963
     pdsrfc2 |  -495.1496   77.62246    -6.38   0.000    -647.2868   -343.0124
       tp2r1 |   2.979048   .2241745    13.29   0.000     2.539674    3.418422
       tp2r2 |   2.958762   .2341379    12.64   0.000      2.49986    3.417663
        year |  -.3912491   .0388895   -10.06   0.000    -.4674711    -.315027
      gattl1 |   .2004609   .0212147     9.45   0.000     .1588809     .242041
      round2 |   1.813782   .1843157     9.84   0.000      1.45253    2.175034
       bad14 |   1.008872   .1168985     8.63   0.000     .7797554    1.237989
        f123 |  -.6016927   .6627957    -0.91   0.364    -1.900748    .6973631
        f_14 |   .5347196   .1374584     3.89   0.000      .265306    .8041332
      spldy1 |   .0710635   .0087353     8.14   0.000     .0539427    .0881844
      spldy2 |  -.0928279   .0093236    -9.96   0.000    -.1111018    -.074554
      spldy3 |   .0751317     .00611    12.30   0.000     .0631563    .0871072
      spldy4 |  -.0492934   .0037442   -13.17   0.000    -.0566319   -.0419549
      spldy5 |   .0283315   .0024211    11.70   0.000     .0235863    .0330767
      spldy6 |  -.0084018   .0009006    -9.33   0.000     -.010167   -.0066366
       _cons |   750.8245   75.63789     9.93   0.000     602.5769     899.072
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 11 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar top2rat tradep1 tradep2 mid15 alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc
> 2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postc
> om spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2361.8443
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1725.7412
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1372.3952
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1236.7423
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1197.426
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1192.2603
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1192.1269
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1192.1268

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      64705
                                                  Wald chi2(33)   =    1507.67
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1192.1268                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4953

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     top2rat |  -.3178606   .1790033    -1.78   0.076    -.6687007    .0329795
     tradep1 |  -.9328816    3.02088    -0.31   0.757    -6.853698    4.987935
     tradep2 |   3.356561   2.247371     1.49   0.135    -1.048204    7.761327
       mid15 |  -1.978336   1.193369    -1.66   0.097    -4.317297    .3606248
    alliance |   .4476986   .1431185     3.13   0.002     .1671915    .7282057
    distance |  -.4429784   .0365994   -12.10   0.000    -.5147119   -.3712449
     demp981 |   .0616026   .0095327     6.46   0.000      .042919    .0802863
     demp982 |   .0418248   .0096496     4.33   0.000      .022912    .0607376
        tr95 |   40.87093   7.185723     5.69   0.000     26.78717    54.95469
          g1 |  -.4257111   .1602844    -2.66   0.008    -.7398628   -.1115594
          g2 |  -.2507361    .191738    -1.31   0.191    -.6265357    .1250635
         gc1 |  -.0255111   .0073403    -3.48   0.001    -.0398979   -.0111243
         gc2 |  -.0040205   .0073797    -0.54   0.586    -.0184845    .0104434
     growth1 |  -.0173877    .013805    -1.26   0.208     -.044445    .0096695
     growth2 |  -.0236933   .0143671    -1.65   0.099    -.0518522    .0044657
      pdsrfc |  -38.13353   4.486802    -8.50   0.000     -46.9275   -29.33956
     pdsrfc2 |  -298.6026    80.6384    -3.70   0.000     -456.651   -140.5543
       tp2r1 |   3.859004   .2656129    14.53   0.000     3.338412    4.379595
       tp2r2 |   3.900673   .2654425    14.69   0.000     3.380415    4.420931
        year |  -.0986087    .031685    -3.11   0.002    -.1607101   -.0365073
    dtgattl1 |   .2599172   .0349525     7.44   0.000     .1914116    .3284228
      round2 |   1.474808   .2035431     7.25   0.000     1.075871    1.873745
       bad14 |   1.563655   .1459207    10.72   0.000     1.277656    1.849654
        f123 |  -.5035829   .7256778    -0.69   0.488    -1.925885    .9187194
        f_14 |   .5568962   .1628273     3.42   0.001     .2377605    .8760319
     fmrcolb |   1.913475   .3117784     6.14   0.000     1.302401     2.52455
     postcom |   3.206612    .242504    13.22   0.000     2.731313    3.681911
      spldy1 |   .0875798    .009555     9.17   0.000     .0688523    .1063072
      spldy2 |  -.1010692   .0103505    -9.76   0.000    -.1213558   -.0807827
      spldy3 |   .0734976   .0068828    10.68   0.000     .0600076    .0869876
      spldy4 |  -.0461118   .0042757   -10.78   0.000     -.054492   -.0377316
      spldy5 |   .0262555   .0028264     9.29   0.000     .0207159    .0317951
      spldy6 |  -.0076228    .001058    -7.20   0.000    -.0096966   -.0055491
       _cons |   189.5997   63.22352     3.00   0.003     65.68383    313.5155
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 1 failure and 0 successes completely determined.

. 
. * tests in bottom paragraph page 851, top page 852 *
. * drop dyads with US in them *
. use pta2, clear
(June 2002 GATT/WTO Directed Dyad Year PTA Dataset)

. drop if stnum==2 | stnum2==2
(7504 observations deleted)

. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5265.8261
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -4017.7436
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -3451.6481
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3241.4678
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3194.4242
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3190.9526
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3190.9241
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3190.9241

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     143923
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    2585.35
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3190.9241                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3940

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .3542128   .1165743     3.04   0.002     .1257314    .5826941
    distance |  -.6228744    .028115   -22.15   0.000    -.6779787     -.56777
     demp981 |   .0634869   .0055522    11.43   0.000     .0526048     .074369
        tr95 |  -16.47508   33.56073    -0.49   0.623     -82.2529    49.30274
          g1 |   .2595411   .0908178     2.86   0.004     .0815415    .4375407
         gc1 |   .0078348    .004335     1.81   0.071    -.0006616    .0163312
     growth1 |  -.0222715   .0082281    -2.71   0.007    -.0383982   -.0061447
      pdsrfc |  -37.83042   4.023604    -9.40   0.000    -45.71654    -29.9443
     pdsrfc2 |    -335.73   82.42871    -4.07   0.000    -497.2873   -174.1727
       tp2r1 |   3.147252   .1413553    22.26   0.000       2.8702    3.424303
        year |  -.5038564   .0418664   -12.03   0.000    -.5859131   -.4217997
      gattl1 |   .2507507   .0305383     8.21   0.000     .1908967    .3106048
      round2 |   1.843422   .1522608    12.11   0.000     1.544996    2.141847
       bad14 |   1.190333   .1166723    10.20   0.000      .961659    1.419006
        f123 |  -1.029166   .8362448    -1.23   0.218    -2.668175    .6098441
        f_14 |   .5268216   .1341943     3.93   0.000     .2638056    .7898376
      spldy1 |   .0796007   .0089832     8.86   0.000      .061994    .0972074
      spldy2 |  -.0996577   .0097956   -10.17   0.000    -.1188567   -.0804587
      spldy3 |   .0767875   .0063343    12.12   0.000     .0643724    .0892026
      spldy4 |   -.048783   .0036987   -13.19   0.000    -.0560324   -.0415337
      spldy5 |   .0278976    .002341    11.92   0.000     .0233093    .0324859
      spldy6 |  -.0082058    .000871    -9.42   0.000    -.0099129   -.0064988
       _cons |   970.5701   80.24067    12.10   0.000     813.3012    1127.839
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 s
> pldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -6545.4369
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -5052.9652
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -4437.8069
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -4216.7009
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -4171.4968
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -4168.8152
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -4168.8028

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     252357
                                                  Wald chi2(19)   =    3092.80
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -4168.8028                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3631

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.6561506   .0254334   -25.80   0.000    -.7059992   -.6063021
     demp981 |   .0454588   .0052652     8.63   0.000     .0351392    .0557784
          g1 |   .2354236   .0739627     3.18   0.001     .0904595    .3803878
         gc1 |   .0136973   .0038333     3.57   0.000     .0061841    .0212104
      pdsrfc |  -23.35846   2.612834    -8.94   0.000    -28.47952   -18.23739
     pdsrfc2 |   -673.791   68.85177    -9.79   0.000     -808.738    -538.844
       tp2r1 |   2.847137   .1326569    21.46   0.000     2.587134     3.10714
        year |  -.3969944   .0247036   -16.07   0.000    -.4454127   -.3485762
      gattl1 |   .1552542   .0114599    13.55   0.000     .1327931    .1777153
      round2 |   1.887717    .153503    12.30   0.000     1.586857    2.188577
       bad14 |   1.060436   .1027689    10.32   0.000     .8590129     1.26186
        f123 |  -1.077364   .7717014    -1.40   0.163    -2.589871    .4351433
        f_14 |   .6234218   .1191144     5.23   0.000     .3899619    .8568817
      spldy1 |   .0615142   .0079228     7.76   0.000     .0459857    .0770426
      spldy2 |  -.0845268   .0086889    -9.73   0.000    -.1015568   -.0674969
      spldy3 |   .0704887   .0056955    12.38   0.000     .0593256    .0816517
      spldy4 |  -.0463082   .0033169   -13.96   0.000    -.0528093   -.0398072
      spldy5 |    .025943   .0019775    13.12   0.000     .0220671    .0298189
      spldy6 |    -.00724   .0006735   -10.75   0.000    -.0085601     -.00592
       _cons |   766.8394   47.89932    16.01   0.000     672.9584    860.7203
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 38 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 
> round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -5265.8261
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -3945.402
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -3336.705
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -3115.7449
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -3064.3661
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -3060.1258
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -3060.0837
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -3060.0837

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     143923
                                                  Wald chi2(24)   =    2740.68
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -3060.0837                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4189

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .5433443   .1179238     4.61   0.000     .3122178    .7744707
    distance |  -.5410892   .0276144   -19.59   0.000    -.5952124    -.486966
     demp981 |    .057445   .0053394    10.76   0.000     .0469801      .06791
        tr95 |  -38.71719   35.42917    -1.09   0.274    -108.1571    30.72271
          g1 |   .2328753   .0897669     2.59   0.009     .0569354    .4088151
         gc1 |   .0161523    .004447     3.63   0.000     .0074364    .0248681
     growth1 |   .0068085   .0077605     0.88   0.380    -.0084018    .0220189
      pdsrfc |  -32.68001   3.279782    -9.96   0.000    -39.10827   -26.25176
     pdsrfc2 |   -424.077   80.79557    -5.25   0.000    -582.4334   -265.7206
       tp2r1 |   3.190674   .1494819    21.34   0.000     2.897695    3.483653
        year |  -.0434476   .0178918    -2.43   0.015    -.0785149   -.0083802
    dtgattl1 |   .2347963    .024028     9.77   0.000     .1877022    .2818903
      round2 |   1.719952   .1567007    10.98   0.000     1.412824    2.027079
       bad14 |   1.288348   .1157424    11.13   0.000     1.061497    1.515199
        f123 |  -.8882668   .8409699    -1.06   0.291    -2.536537    .7600039
        f_14 |   .5937606   .1342881     4.42   0.000     .3305607    .8569605
     fmrcolb |    1.47379   .1946573     7.57   0.000     1.092269    1.855312
     postcom |   2.855292   .2117061    13.49   0.000     2.440356    3.270229
      spldy1 |   .0798753   .0089155     8.96   0.000     .0624012    .0973494
      spldy2 |  -.0993173   .0096629   -10.28   0.000    -.1182562   -.0803784
      spldy3 |   .0749002   .0062339    12.02   0.000     .0626821    .0871183
      spldy4 |  -.0447808   .0037395   -11.97   0.000    -.0521101   -.0374514
      spldy5 |   .0234617   .0024746     9.48   0.000     .0186116    .0283118
      spldy6 |  -.0061721   .0009498    -6.50   0.000    -.0080337   -.0043105
       _cons |   80.00665   35.43917     2.26   0.024     10.54716    149.4661
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust clus
> ter(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2339.7172
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1731.3957
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1410.8263
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1285.5901
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1250.8921
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1246.7372
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1246.6423
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1246.6422

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      62738
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1396.92
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1246.6422                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4672

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .2357464   .1380707     1.71   0.088    -.0348671    .5063599
    distance |  -.5605115   .0378537   -14.81   0.000    -.6347034   -.4863196
     demp981 |   .0642231   .0099323     6.47   0.000     .0447561    .0836901
     demp982 |   .0400054   .0100993     3.96   0.000     .0202112    .0597996
        tr95 |   28.39765   59.60112     0.48   0.634     -88.4184    145.2137
          g1 |   .0220946   .2237813     0.10   0.921    -.4165087    .4606978
          g2 |   .1938239    .191175     1.01   0.311    -.1808721      .56852
         gc1 |  -.0306759   .0074138    -4.14   0.000    -.0452068   -.0161451
         gc2 |  -.0077425   .0075156    -1.03   0.303    -.0224729    .0069878
     growth1 |  -.0426619   .0145631    -2.93   0.003     -.071205   -.0141188
     growth2 |  -.0427477   .0145644    -2.94   0.003    -.0712934   -.0142021
      pdsrfc |  -45.22217   5.832098    -7.75   0.000    -56.65288   -33.79147
     pdsrfc2 |  -176.6464   92.77213    -1.90   0.057    -358.4764    5.183608
       tp2r1 |   3.437228   .2536567    13.55   0.000      2.94007    3.934386
       tp2r2 |   3.553298   .2506246    14.18   0.000     3.062083    4.044513
        year |  -.5714985   .0631169    -9.05   0.000    -.6952053   -.4477917
      gattl1 |   .2875886   .0458261     6.28   0.000     .1977711    .3774061
      round2 |   1.923866   .1799889    10.69   0.000     1.571094    2.276638
       bad14 |   1.404816   .1481452     9.48   0.000     1.114457    1.695175
        f123 |  -.8131499   .9353294    -0.87   0.385    -2.646362    1.020062
        f_14 |   .5312273   .1624658     3.27   0.001     .2128003    .8496544
      spldy1 |   .0832553   .0098164     8.48   0.000     .0640155    .1024952
      spldy2 |  -.0995121   .0106923    -9.31   0.000    -.1204686   -.0785556
      spldy3 |   .0759605   .0070551    10.77   0.000     .0621327    .0897883
      spldy4 |   -.050712   .0042546   -11.92   0.000     -.059051   -.0423731
      spldy5 |   .0305139   .0026902    11.34   0.000     .0252412    .0357867
      spldy6 |  -.0093281   .0009751    -9.57   0.000    -.0112393    -.007417
       _cons |   1100.649   120.9361     9.10   0.000     863.6188     1337.68
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 17 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 rou
> nd2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -3049.524
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -2308.2936
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1995.1745
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1883.091
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1859.0699
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1857.4028
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1857.3916
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1857.3916

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     112592
                                                  Wald chi2(23)   =    2285.75
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1857.3916                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3909

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.5901479    .030274   -19.49   0.000     -.649484   -.5308119
     demp981 |   .0393175   .0086135     4.56   0.000     .0224353    .0561998
     demp982 |   .0261453   .0087145     3.00   0.003     .0090651    .0432255
          g1 |   .0833399   .1623199     0.51   0.608    -.2348012     .401481
          g2 |   .2556451   .1338649     1.91   0.056    -.0067253    .5180156
         gc1 |  -.0092949   .0060137    -1.55   0.122    -.0210816    .0024917
         gc2 |   .0048128   .0063034     0.76   0.445    -.0075416    .0171673
      pdsrfc |   -22.9086   2.939478    -7.79   0.000    -28.66987   -17.14733
     pdsrfc2 |  -605.4833   68.23157    -8.87   0.000    -739.2147   -471.7519
       tp2r1 |   2.580922    .197514    13.07   0.000     2.193802    2.968042
       tp2r2 |   2.718105   .2055194    13.23   0.000     2.315295    3.120916
        year |  -.3768641    .025928   -14.54   0.000    -.4276821    -.326046
      gattl1 |    .142665   .0119475    11.94   0.000     .1192484    .1660816
      round2 |   1.822705   .1592693    11.44   0.000     1.510543    2.134867
       bad14 |   1.079751   .1124691     9.60   0.000     .8593161    1.300187
        f123 |  -1.048369   .7790338    -1.35   0.178    -2.575248    .4785089
        f_14 |   .5616676   .1281927     4.38   0.000     .3104146    .8129206
      spldy1 |   .0616572   .0079919     7.71   0.000     .0459933    .0773211
      spldy2 |  -.0837565   .0086482    -9.68   0.000    -.1007067   -.0668064
      spldy3 |   .0702053   .0057012    12.31   0.000     .0590312    .0813794
      spldy4 |   -.047089    .003429   -13.73   0.000    -.0538097   -.0403683
      spldy5 |   .0268971   .0020956    12.83   0.000     .0227898    .0310045
      spldy6 |  -.0076835   .0007248   -10.60   0.000    -.0091041    -.006263
       _cons |   727.5957   50.28918    14.47   0.000     629.0307    826.1607
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 9 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side
> _a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2339.7172
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1717.4026
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1360.1376
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1224.4113
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1184.4909
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1178.977
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1178.8165
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1178.8163

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      62738
                                                  Wald chi2(29)   =    1494.04
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1178.8163                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4962

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .4925349    .146699     3.36   0.001     .2050101    .7800598
    distance |  -.4263183   .0367198   -11.61   0.000    -.4982877   -.3543489
     demp981 |   .0602492   .0094285     6.39   0.000     .0417697    .0787287
     demp982 |   .0375122   .0096239     3.90   0.000     .0186498    .0563747
        tr95 |    15.9992   59.46592     0.27   0.788    -100.5519    132.5503
          g1 |  -.1313759   .2347134    -0.56   0.576    -.5914056    .3286538
          g2 |   .0164998   .2021195     0.08   0.935    -.3796473    .4126468
         gc1 |  -.0231159   .0073432    -3.15   0.002    -.0375084   -.0087235
         gc2 |  -.0018997   .0072894    -0.26   0.794    -.0161867    .0123873
     growth1 |  -.0137351   .0136112    -1.01   0.313    -.0404125    .0129424
     growth2 |   -.019076   .0140448    -1.36   0.174    -.0466033    .0084513
      pdsrfc |  -38.97333   4.373517    -8.91   0.000    -47.54526   -30.40139
     pdsrfc2 |  -249.8295   83.20952    -3.00   0.003    -412.9171    -86.7418
       tp2r1 |   3.897421   .2645341    14.73   0.000     3.378943    4.415898
       tp2r2 |   4.021538   .2691016    14.94   0.000     3.494108    4.548967
        year |  -.0523258   .0232062    -2.25   0.024    -.0978092   -.0068424
    dtgattl1 |    .257147   .0332282     7.74   0.000     .1920209     .322273
      round2 |   1.658643   .1819117     9.12   0.000     1.302102    2.015183
       bad14 |   1.540661   .1471758    10.47   0.000     1.252202    1.829121
        f123 |  -.5988251    .936962    -0.64   0.523    -2.435237    1.237587
        f_14 |   .5907178   .1608486     3.67   0.000     .2754604    .9059752
     fmrcolb |   1.948888   .2577822     7.56   0.000     1.443644    2.454132
     postcom |   3.159359   .2289388    13.80   0.000     2.710647     3.60807
      spldy1 |    .084635   .0098083     8.63   0.000     .0654112    .1038589
      spldy2 |  -.0982336   .0106165    -9.25   0.000    -.1190416   -.0774255
      spldy3 |   .0715559   .0070257    10.18   0.000     .0577858    .0853261
      spldy4 |  -.0443662   .0043253   -10.26   0.000    -.0528436   -.0358888
      spldy5 |    .024725    .002799     8.83   0.000     .0192391    .0302109
      spldy6 |  -.0069755   .0010321    -6.76   0.000    -.0089983   -.0049526
       _cons |     96.479    45.9676     2.10   0.036     6.384165    186.5738
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 1 failure and 0 successes completely determined.

. 
. * tests in bottom paragraph page 851, top page 852 *
. * drop dyads with at least one EC founding member *
. use pta2, clear
(June 2002 GATT/WTO Directed Dyad Year PTA Dataset)

. gen ec61=1 if country1=="Belgium" | country1=="Netherlands" | country1=="France" | country1=="L
> uxembourg" | country1=="Germany" | country1=="Italy"
(304136 missing values generated)

. gen ec62=1 if country2=="Belgium" | country2=="Netherlands" | country2=="France" | country2=="L
> uxembourg" | country2=="Germany" | country2=="Italy"
(304136 missing values generated)

. drop if ec61==1 | ec62==1
(43304 observations deleted)

. ******* MODEL 1 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 ro
> und2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2994.6817
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -2288.1197
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1952.9206
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1816.2354
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1780.9893
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1777.6238
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1777.5802
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1777.5802

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     127177
                                                  Wald chi2(22)   =    1517.08
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1777.5802                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4064

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   .6584854   .1674922     3.93   0.000     .3302067    .9867641
    distance |  -.7682344   .0469601   -16.36   0.000    -.8602744   -.6761944
     demp981 |   .0658544   .0085734     7.68   0.000     .0490509     .082658
        tr95 |   4.212824   3.858629     1.09   0.275     -3.34995     11.7756
          g1 |  -.6850765   .1636421    -4.19   0.000    -1.005809   -.3643439
         gc1 |   .0170356   .0054642     3.12   0.002     .0063259    .0277453
     growth1 |  -.0227922   .0104122    -2.19   0.029    -.0431997   -.0023847
      pdsrfc |  -24.84547   5.982599    -4.15   0.000    -36.57115   -13.11979
     pdsrfc2 |  -472.1171   94.71921    -4.98   0.000    -657.7633   -286.4709
       tp2r1 |   3.512501   .1688388    20.80   0.000     3.181583    3.843419
        year |  -.4621888   .0676231    -6.83   0.000    -.5947276   -.3296499
      gattl1 |   .2119163   .0482345     4.39   0.000     .1173785    .3064542
      round2 |   1.692398   .2118339     7.99   0.000     1.277211    2.107585
       bad14 |   2.026829    .169629    11.95   0.000     1.694362    2.359296
        f123 |   -.212611   .7344449    -0.29   0.772    -1.652096    1.226875
        f_14 |   .8241381   .1648931     5.00   0.000     .5009535    1.147323
      spldy1 |   .0561017   .0108882     5.15   0.000     .0347612    .0774423
      spldy2 |  -.0715494   .0117435    -6.09   0.000    -.0945662   -.0485326
      spldy3 |   .0558049   .0076626     7.28   0.000     .0407865    .0708232
      spldy4 |  -.0359507   .0044628    -8.06   0.000    -.0446976   -.0272039
      spldy5 |    .021429   .0027508     7.79   0.000     .0160375    .0268205
      spldy6 |  -.0068151   .0010004    -6.81   0.000    -.0087758   -.0048544
       _cons |   890.8079   129.7171     6.87   0.000     636.5671    1145.049
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 109 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 2 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 g1 gc1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 s
> pldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -3956.3275
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -3090.7315
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -2677.7996
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -2515.2595
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -2474.2521
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -2470.6011
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -2470.5619
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -2470.5619

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     228756
                                                  Wald chi2(19)   =    1328.44
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -2470.5619                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3755

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |   -.825263   .0419094   -19.69   0.000     -.907404    -.743122
     demp981 |   .0481153   .0078793     6.11   0.000     .0326722    .0635583
          g1 |  -.4033559   .1159705    -3.48   0.001    -.6306539   -.1760579
         gc1 |   .0185103   .0046678     3.97   0.000     .0093616    .0276591
      pdsrfc |  -18.16362   3.254417    -5.58   0.000    -24.54216   -11.78508
     pdsrfc2 |    -681.27   82.50242    -8.26   0.000    -842.9718   -519.5682
       tp2r1 |   3.075406   .1575391    19.52   0.000     2.766635    3.384177
        year |   -.377077   .0348687   -10.81   0.000    -.4454184   -.3087356
      gattl1 |   .1398474   .0173121     8.08   0.000     .1059163    .1737784
      round2 |    1.83042   .2044776     8.95   0.000     1.429651    2.231189
       bad14 |   1.786421   .1388433    12.87   0.000     1.514293    2.058549
        f123 |   .0271661   .6341082     0.04   0.966    -1.215663    1.269995
        f_14 |   .8022447    .138828     5.78   0.000     .5301468    1.074343
      spldy1 |   .0453032   .0099071     4.57   0.000     .0258857    .0647208
      spldy2 |  -.0632425   .0107346    -5.89   0.000    -.0842819   -.0422031
      spldy3 |   .0529237   .0069587     7.61   0.000     .0392849    .0665625
      spldy4 |  -.0345258   .0039344    -8.78   0.000     -.042237   -.0268146
      spldy5 |   .0194869   .0022546     8.64   0.000      .015068    .0239059
      spldy6 |  -.0056376   .0007394    -7.62   0.000    -.0070869   -.0041883
       _cons |   728.5376   67.51953    10.79   0.000     596.2018    860.8735
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 304 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 3 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 tr95 g1 gc1 growth1 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 year dtgattl1 
> round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -2994.6817
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -2287.0269
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1889.0278
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1736.0661
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1692.4756
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1687.2304
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1687.1253
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1687.1253

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     127177
                                                  Wald chi2(24)   =    1469.03
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1687.1253                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4366

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |    .904408   .1656219     5.46   0.000     .5797951    1.229021
    distance |  -.6794778   .0470983   -14.43   0.000    -.7717888   -.5871668
     demp981 |   .0584913   .0079771     7.33   0.000     .0428566     .074126
        tr95 |   6.903385   4.286448     1.61   0.107    -1.497898    15.30467
          g1 |  -.7254717   .1692935    -4.29   0.000    -1.057281   -.3936625
         gc1 |   .0290379   .0056072     5.18   0.000      .018048    .0400279
     growth1 |   .0083686   .0100672     0.83   0.406    -.0113627       .0281
      pdsrfc |    -19.509    4.64299    -4.20   0.000     -28.6091   -10.40891
     pdsrfc2 |  -550.4508   90.20632    -6.10   0.000    -727.2519   -373.6496
       tp2r1 |   3.733617   .1902618    19.62   0.000     3.360711    4.106523
        year |  -.0729022   .0255612    -2.85   0.004    -.1230013   -.0228031
    dtgattl1 |    .187034   .0366097     5.11   0.000     .1152802    .2587877
      round2 |   1.494777   .2155738     6.93   0.000      1.07226    1.917293
       bad14 |   2.140335   .1650517    12.97   0.000     1.816839     2.46383
        f123 |  -.0456759   .7253826    -0.06   0.950      -1.4674    1.376048
        f_14 |   .8724127   .1696704     5.14   0.000     .5398648    1.204961
     fmrcolb |   1.818372   .2931931     6.20   0.000     1.243724     2.39302
     postcom |   2.835217   .2660622    10.66   0.000     2.313745    3.356689
      spldy1 |   .0568441   .0107403     5.29   0.000     .0357935    .0778947
      spldy2 |  -.0718435   .0115959    -6.20   0.000    -.0945711    -.049116
      spldy3 |   .0545386   .0076631     7.12   0.000     .0395192     .069558
      spldy4 |  -.0321612   .0046435    -6.93   0.000    -.0412623   -.0230601
      spldy5 |   .0168481   .0029714     5.67   0.000     .0110242     .022672
      spldy6 |  -.0046706   .0011073    -4.22   0.000    -.0068409   -.0025002
       _cons |   137.7392   50.59946     2.72   0.006      38.5661    236.9123
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 65 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 4 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust clus
> ter(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -1329.7289
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -1015.275
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -798.26451
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -714.42146
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -687.39073
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -683.10866
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -682.94092
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -682.94047

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      55309
                                                  Wald chi2(27)   =    1002.85
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -682.94047                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4864

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |     .62147   .1933632     3.21   0.001     .2424852    1.000455
    distance |  -.7127616   .0632482   -11.27   0.000    -.8367258   -.5887975
     demp981 |   .0615548   .0146929     4.19   0.000     .0327572    .0903524
     demp982 |   .0592916   .0153226     3.87   0.000     .0292598    .0893234
        tr95 |   34.06465    13.2118     2.58   0.010     8.169995    59.95931
          g1 |   -.684235   .2383371    -2.87   0.004    -1.151367   -.2171028
          g2 |  -.5697815   .4651956    -1.22   0.221    -1.481548    .3419851
         gc1 |  -.0039138   .0100712    -0.39   0.698    -.0236531    .0158255
         gc2 |  -.0004786   .0103343    -0.05   0.963    -.0207334    .0197762
     growth1 |   -.030772     .01833    -1.68   0.093    -.0666981    .0051541
     growth2 |  -.0685716   .0181965    -3.77   0.000    -.1042361   -.0329071
      pdsrfc |   -35.0847    11.4191    -3.07   0.002    -57.46574   -12.70367
     pdsrfc2 |  -316.4501   129.3444    -2.45   0.014    -569.9605   -62.93974
       tp2r1 |   3.495266   .2922794    11.96   0.000     2.922409    4.068123
       tp2r2 |   3.119479   .2921004    10.68   0.000     2.546973    3.691986
        year |  -.6139845   .1298329    -4.73   0.000    -.8684524   -.3595167
      gattl1 |   .3114168   .0938773     3.32   0.001     .1274207     .495413
      round2 |   1.717487   .2379389     7.22   0.000     1.251135    2.183839
       bad14 |   1.980975   .2096142     9.45   0.000     1.570139    2.391811
        f123 |   .0618514   .7649277     0.08   0.936    -1.437379    1.561082
        f_14 |   .9752877   .2034331     4.79   0.000     .5765661    1.374009
      spldy1 |   .0646127    .011649     5.55   0.000      .041781    .0874444
      spldy2 |  -.0740891    .012296    -6.03   0.000    -.0981888   -.0499895
      spldy3 |   .0534083   .0083147     6.42   0.000     .0371117    .0697049
      spldy4 |  -.0346192   .0051021    -6.79   0.000     -.044619   -.0246193
      spldy5 |   .0217955   .0030984     7.03   0.000     .0157227    .0278683
      spldy6 |  -.0073144    .001086    -6.73   0.000     -.009443   -.0051858
       _cons |   1182.422   248.8285     4.75   0.000     694.7272    1670.117
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 210 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 5 *******
. logit newptar distance demp981 demp982 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 pdsrfc pdsrfc2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year gattl1 rou
> nd2 bad14 f123 f_14 spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side_a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -1817.2151
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1426.5059
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -1189.2127
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -1101.7794
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -1077.3375
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -1074.4719
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -1074.4164
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -1074.4164

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =     101551
                                                  Wald chi2(23)   =     983.64
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -1074.4164                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4088

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    distance |  -.8012206   .0510591   -15.69   0.000    -.9012946   -.7011466
     demp981 |   .0396338   .0126871     3.12   0.002     .0147675    .0645002
     demp982 |   .0456844   .0129875     3.52   0.000     .0202294    .0711395
          g1 |  -.1484323   .1816399    -0.82   0.414    -.5044399    .2075753
          g2 |  -.2033738   .1757322    -1.16   0.247    -.5478025     .141055
         gc1 |   .0006581   .0081213     0.08   0.935    -.0152594    .0165755
         gc2 |   .0046342   .0085567     0.54   0.588    -.0121366    .0214049
      pdsrfc |  -15.24471   4.027702    -3.78   0.000    -23.13886   -7.350561
     pdsrfc2 |  -662.9459   79.46024    -8.34   0.000    -818.6851   -507.2067
       tp2r1 |    2.54548   .2244989    11.34   0.000      2.10547     2.98549
       tp2r2 |   2.594824   .2264645    11.46   0.000     2.150962    3.038686
        year |  -.3433083   .0365872    -9.38   0.000    -.4150178   -.2715987
      gattl1 |   .1168669   .0182306     6.41   0.000     .0811356    .1525982
      round2 |   1.738109   .2052594     8.47   0.000     1.335808     2.14041
       bad14 |   1.671538   .1527179    10.95   0.000     1.372216     1.97086
        f123 |   .1761162   .6702221     0.26   0.793    -1.137495    1.489727
        f_14 |   .7916331   .1513457     5.23   0.000      .495001    1.088265
      spldy1 |   .0453803   .0100136     4.53   0.000     .0257539    .0650066
      spldy2 |  -.0632552   .0106138    -5.96   0.000    -.0840579   -.0424525
      spldy3 |   .0537566   .0069781     7.70   0.000     .0400799    .0674334
      spldy4 |  -.0359733   .0041747    -8.62   0.000    -.0441556    -.027791
      spldy5 |   .0207271   .0024669     8.40   0.000      .015892    .0255621
      spldy6 |  -.0061771    .000824    -7.50   0.000    -.0077921   -.0045621
       _cons |   663.4093   70.88474     9.36   0.000     524.4777    802.3408
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 166 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. ******* MODEL 6 *******
. logit newptar alliance distance demp981 demp982 tr95 g1 g2 gc1 gc2 growth1 growth2 pdsrfc pdsrf
> c2 tp2r1 tp2r2 year dtgattl1 round2 bad14 f123 f_14 fmrcolb postcom spldy* if pta2rl1~=1 & side
> _a==n, robust cluster(dyad)

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -1329.7289
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -1058.6187
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -774.43978
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -675.32008
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -639.69514
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -632.22771
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -631.7378
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -631.73486

Logit estimates                                   Number of obs   =      55309
                                                  Wald chi2(29)   =     853.90
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -631.73486                 Pseudo R2       =     0.5249

                             (standard errors adjusted for clustering on dyad)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
     newptar |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    alliance |   1.078418   .1960727     5.50   0.000     .6941225    1.462713
    distance |  -.5666585   .0629299    -9.00   0.000    -.6899988   -.4433182
     demp981 |   .0549628   .0137653     3.99   0.000     .0279833    .0819423
     demp982 |   .0518434   .0142602     3.64   0.000      .023894    .0797928
        tr95 |   42.84118   13.96146     3.07   0.002     15.47721    70.20515
          g1 |  -.7392746   .2692663    -2.75   0.006    -1.267027   -.2115223
          g2 |  -.6468878    .497055    -1.30   0.193    -1.621098    .3273221
         gc1 |   .0042813     .01026     0.42   0.676     -.015828    .0243906
         gc2 |   .0116269   .0098095     1.19   0.236    -.0075994    .0308531
     growth1 |  -.0029705   .0174408    -0.17   0.865    -.0371538    .0312129
     growth2 |  -.0414417   .0181592    -2.28   0.022    -.0770332   -.0058503
      pdsrfc |  -24.23746   8.295534    -2.92   0.003    -40.49641   -7.978516
     pdsrfc2 |  -427.7935   112.3322    -3.81   0.000    -647.9605   -207.6264
       tp2r1 |    4.28368   .3380899    12.67   0.000     3.621036    4.946324
       tp2r2 |   3.855603   .3262501    11.82   0.000     3.216164    4.495041
        year |  -.0627563   .0462342    -1.36   0.175    -.1533736    .0278611
    dtgattl1 |   .2346055   .0691515     3.39   0.001     .0990711      .37014
      round2 |   1.317069   .2299991     5.73   0.000     .8662789    1.767859
       bad14 |   2.118998   .2076089    10.21   0.000     1.712092    2.525904
        f123 |   .3113441   .7184294     0.43   0.665    -1.096752     1.71944
        f_14 |   1.008936   .2114413     4.77   0.000      .594519    1.423354
     fmrcolb |   2.686781   .4373844     6.14   0.000     1.829523    3.544039
     postcom |   3.435649   .2950465    11.64   0.000     2.857369     4.01393
      spldy1 |    .067459   .0114318     5.90   0.000     .0450531    .0898649
      spldy2 |  -.0737107   .0121332    -6.08   0.000    -.0974913   -.0499302
      spldy3 |   .0493549   .0083891     5.88   0.000     .0329126    .0657973
      spldy4 |  -.0279556   .0052773    -5.30   0.000    -.0382989   -.0176123
      spldy5 |   .0152175   .0032518     4.68   0.000     .0088441    .0215909
      spldy6 |  -.0045568   .0011524    -3.95   0.000    -.0068154   -.0022982
       _cons |    116.816   91.59721     1.28   0.202    -62.71127    296.3432
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

note: 228 failures and 0 successes completely determined.

. 
. log close
       log:  C:\eresearch\published\PTAs\June2002\mansfield-reinhardt-2003.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:   3 Dec 2004, 14:40:21
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
